| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollywell Gypsyb 2y 18 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 62 (3) | 61 (3) | 56 (2) | 71 (1) | 45 (5) | 46 (6) | - | - | - | - | 28 | 23 | 14 | 22 | 58 | 39 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Southwind Twirlb 1y 3 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 52 | 46 (5) | 70 (1) | 54 (4) | 27 (6) | 51 (4) | 71 (5) | 64 (1) | 22 (1) | 19 (4) | - | 36 | 37 | 6 | 28 | 54 | 41 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Winter Kingd 2y 15 | M Dobson — 10% R50 W5 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 49 | 64 (3) | 27 (4) | 52 (4) | 64 (3) | 61 (3) | 76 (1) | 37 (6) | 40 (6) | 66 (2) | 64 (3) | 18 | - | 28 | - | 59 | 44 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Darver Pigeonb 3y 16 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 74 (1) | 68 (2) | 70 (1) | 30 (6) | 43 (4) | 54 (3) | 42 (6) | 60 (3) | 54 (3) | - | 32 | 18 | 23 | 32 | 58 | 43 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ramblin Frostyb 1y 26 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 70 | 64 (2) | 38 (1) | 55 (3) | 20 (6) | 65 (1) | 27 (6) | 58 (1) | 25 (2) | 22 (4) | - | 35 | 40 | 6 | 43 | 55 | 45 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Killieford Kaylab 4y 25 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 43 | 59 (2) | 58 (4) | 56 (4) | 53 (5) | 65 (3) | 51 (5) | 66 (2) | 60 (4) | 54 (4) | 69 (2) | 38 | 40 | 22 | 21 | 58 | 47 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Winter King | 28.54 | 28.67 | 28.54 | 58 | 0.00 | Best trap for the grade | |
| 6 | Killieford Kayla | 28.39 | 28.64 | 28.78 | 56 | +0.39 | ||
| 5 | Ramblin Frosty | 28.52 | 28.93 | 28.52 | 53 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Hollywell Gypsy | 28.71 | 28.88 | 28.73 | 48 | +0.02 | ||
| 4 | Darver Pigeon | 28.64 | 29.06 | 28.64 | 47 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Southwind Twirl | 28.61 | 29.01 | 29.03 | 42 | +0.42 |
A competitive four-bend contest where several runners have been slow starters lately, so the pace shouldn't be frantic in the opening strides. Ramblin Frosty and Darver Pigeon and Hollywell Gypsy have all shown early pace recently and should be up with the leaders. Winter King and Killieford Kayla, both slow away of late, will need things to happen in front of them. The white jacket has been the strongest draw at this grade, so Winter King's trap is a genuine structural boost if he can overcome his recent tardy starts.
Tops the ratings today, backed by the best first-bend figures in the race, and shows early pace which should let him use that advantage. Recent form has been mixed — two wins in his last six but also a couple of sixths — and he's been racing across grades rather than settling into one. His trainer's 15% strike rate here is solid without being outstanding, and the draw is a fraction below the field average. The ratings favour this one, though the structural case isn't overwhelming.
Has the fastest recorded time in this field and a share of the best trainer record too, at 15% for the yard in these conditions. Recent results haven't matched the raw pace — no better than second in her last six starts, finishing fourth twice. She's been a slow starter of late, which could explain the gap between her clock and her results; if she breaks alertly, the speed on offer makes her a big threat. The most dangerous runner in this race on the data.
Won last time out, though that was at a lower grade, and the form before that had been mixed — a couple of thirds sandwiched around it. The red jacket is the weakest draw at this grade and trip, winning barely one in seven, an awkward fit for a dog who shows early pace and wants to use it. Her trainer's 12% record here is on the light side. The class rise and poor draw are working against a decent recent effort.
Won two starts back but has been disappointing since, finishing fourth, sixth and fifth in three of her last four. The slowest dog in the field on the clock and her last-time run was the furthest off her own best of anyone here. Her trainer's 15% record in these conditions is respectable, but there's little else to recommend her on today's figures.
Won last time out and has been solidly consistent, finishing no worse than fourth in five of his last six starts. Drawn in the white jacket, statistically the best trap at this grade, which adds real structural weight. He's been a slow starter recently, which tempers the trap advantage somewhat, but he reproduced his best time in his last outing. His trainer has no wins from six attempts in these conditions, a small and unhelpful sample. Could easily reverse the ratings — the trap and current form both point the right way.
Was in good form a few starts back with two wins, but has faded since, finishing sixth and fourth in his last two. He shows early pace and reproduced his best time last time out, which is a positive sign. His trainer's 12% record here is unremarkable, and the black jacket is a touch above the field average. The recent dip in results is the main concern.
Key insight: One trainer here has yet to win at this track, grade and distance from six attempts — a small sample but a stark record.
White jacket (trap three) strongest at 21%, red jacket (trap one) weakest at 14%
2,298 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollywell Gypsy | 41 | 66 | Closer |
2Southwind Twirl | 56 | 27 | Fader |
3Winter King | 30 | 100 | Closer |
4Darver Pigeon | 50 | 39 | All-Rounder |
5Ramblin Frosty | 69 | 4 | Fader |
6Killieford Kayla | 50 | 61 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 435m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywell Gypsy | — | — | 0.627 |
| 2 | Southwind Twirl | 0.635 | — | 0.629 |
| 3 | Winter King | 0.629 | 0.615 | 0.621 |
| 4 | Darver Pigeon | — | — | 0.629 |
| 5 | Ramblin Frosty | 0.630 | — | 0.626 |
| 6 | Killieford Kayla | — | — | 0.620 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.