| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Byrneville Sallyb 3y 17 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 32 (1) | 32 (1) | 30 (3) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 21 (4) | 33 (1) | 29 (2) | 26 (3) | 18 (5) | 33 | 25 | - | 43 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Caddells Prideb 4y 18 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 26 (2) | 30 (2) | 24 (4) | 59 (4) | 29 (2) | 17 (2) | 52 (6) | - | 36 | 30 | 29 | 46 | 32 | 34 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Canya Mollb 2y 17 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 59 (3) | 27 (4) | 63 (3) | 34 (4) | 38 (1) | 28 (4) | 30 (2) | 64 (2) | 71 (1) | 28 (3) | 36 | 30 | 27 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mohican Richied 4y 26 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 37 (1) | 47 (4) | 22 (6) | 37 (1) | 35 (3) | 32 (2) | 38 (6) | 29 (5) | 38 (6) | 40 (2) | 45 | 31 | 36 | 41 | 33 | 33 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Nurney Sniperb 4y 15 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 34 (6) | 20 (2) | 28 (5) | 25 (5) | 29 (4) | 42 (3) | 34 (1) | 37 (2) | - | - | 30 | 38 | 10 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Speedy Killeavyd 3y 6 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 30 (2) | 23 (6) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 26 (5) | 31 (3) | 25 (5) | 24 (5) | 27 (5) | 26 (5) | 31 | 29 | 36 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mohican Richie | 16.41 | 16.68 | 16.59 | 55 | +0.18 | ||
| 3 | Canya Moll | 16.44 | 16.67 | 16.80 | 53 | +0.36 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Nurney Sniper | 16.47 | 16.78 | 16.55 | 53 | +0.08 | Back after 14 days | |
| 6 | Speedy Killeavy | 16.52 | 16.83 | 16.89 | 47 | +0.37 | ||
| 1 | Byrneville Sally | 16.61 | 16.88 | 16.78 | 46 | +0.17 | Best trap for the grade | |
| 2 | Caddells Pride | 16.66 | 16.98 | 16.66 | 45 | 0.00 |
The last of three downhill sprints on the card, and it's the most tightly matched of the three on the clock — four of the six are within a couple of tenths of the fastest recorded time. Mohican Richie, Caddells Pride and Speedy Killeavy all show early pace, so this should be a proper scrap into the first bend. Speedy Killeavy has also been a slow starter at times recently, which could undo his gate speed. With the pace this bunched, the dog who avoids trouble at the bend is likely to be the one still travelling strongest at the line.
Tops the ratings today but the white jacket is the weakest draw at this grade, winning barely one in seven, which is a real concern in a race with this much pace on paper. Her trainer's 19% strike rate here is the best in the field, a strong point in her favour. Form has been steady without winning recently, with a win six starts back her most recent. Top of the ratings but the data underneath raises questions — the draw is working against an otherwise solid case.
The fastest dog in this field on both best time and average, and shows early pace to match. Recent form has been up and down — two wins in his last six starts but also a well-beaten sixth in between. His trainer's 18% record here is solid, and the black jacket sits a touch above the field average for this grade. The most dangerous runner in this race on the data — fastest on the clock with the pace to use it.
Back after 37 days off, and the form before that break included two wins, so there's ability there when fresh. Drawn in the strongest trap at this grade, winning close to one in five, and shows early pace which should let her use it. Her trainer's 18% record here is solid. The layoff is the main uncertainty, but the trap and running style both work in her favour.
Was in fine form a few starts back with a win and consecutive seconds, but has cooled since, finishing fourth in each of her last two. Shows early pace and her last-time run matched her own best time exactly. Her trainer's 18% record here is solid. The recent dip in placings is the main concern against a field this tightly bunched on the clock.
Back after 14 days off, and her last-time run before that matched her own best time closely, a good sign heading into today. Recent placings have been modest, with nothing better than second in her last six starts. Her trainer's 16% record here is respectable. Close to the leading pack on the clock, so she's not without a chance if the pace up front gets messy.
His trainer's 24% strike rate in these conditions is comfortably the best in the race, a strong point in his favour. Shows early pace but has also been a slow starter on occasion, an inconsistent pace picture. His last-time run was the furthest off his own best of anyone in this field. One win from his last six starts is a modest recent return, but the trainer figure keeps him interesting.
Key insight: Ratings are a weak guide here — the top-rated dog wins less than one in five at this grade and trip.
Red jacket (trap one) strongest at 19%, white jacket (trap three) weakest at 14%
1,956 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Byrneville Sally | 0.630 | — |
| 2 | Caddells Pride | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Canya Moll | 0.622 | 0.621 |
| 4 | Mohican Richie | 0.622 | 0.634 |
| 5 | Nurney Sniper | 0.626 | — |
| 6 | Speedy Killeavy | 0.628 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.