Without a win in his last six starts, and the recent results have leaned towards the bottom half of the field. His trainer's 20% strike rate in these conditions is one of the best in the race, some encouragement despite the flat form. Shows early pace but his last-time run was the furthest off his own best of anyone here. The red jacket is a fair rather than standout draw. A modest chance on today's evidence.

Shows early pace but has also been a slow starter on occasion, a slightly mixed picture. Form has been steady — a win six starts back and no finish worse than sixth since. His trainer's 20% record here is one of the best in the field. Not among the fastest on the clock, sitting in the middle of this group, which caps his upside somewhat.

Drawn in the strongest trap on the card for this grade, winning close to one in five historically, and he shows early pace which should let him use it. The concern is recent form — four finishes of sixth or worse in his last five starts, and his trainer has no wins from six attempts in these conditions. The trap is doing most of the work in his favour here.

Been a slow starter in recent races, a real disadvantage at a sharp trip like this. Form has been mixed, with a couple of seconds among mostly modest finishes. The stripes are the weakest draw at this grade, winning barely one in six. Her trainer's 13% record here is the lowest of the group. A tough combination of factors to overcome.