Won once from a lower grade in this sequence of six starts but has otherwise struggled, finishing fourth or worse in four of them. Shows early pace but is comfortably the slowest on the clock in this field. Her trainer's 16% record here is decent, but the raw pace deficit is a significant obstacle at this grade and trip.

Two wins from his last six starts show he's capable at this level, and he shares his trainer with the pick, a yard running at 17% in these conditions. Shows early pace but sits towards the back of this field on the clock. His last-time run was a fair effort, not far off his own best. Competitive without being a clear threat to the top of the market.

Consistent without winning recently — five finishes between second and fifth in his last six starts. Shows early pace, but his last-time run was well off his own best, the biggest gap of anyone in this field. His trainer's 16% record here is solid. The dip in his most recent effort is the main concern heading into today.

Second fastest in the field, with steady form including two runner-up finishes in his last six starts. His trainer's 16% record here is solid, and his last-time run was close to his own best, suggesting he's in good order. The main danger to the pick if she doesn't get the run of the race, though the trap and trainer edges both sit with the favourite.