Loading...
The Bet On The Tote A6 / A7 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Brandon Bluehillb 4y 43 | - | - | 53 | - | 36 (6) | 47 (6) | 71 (2) | 58 (4) | 56 (5) | 65 (3) | 61 (4) | 54 (4) | 66 (2) | 48 (5) | 26 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 32 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Chamberlain Lilyb 3y 23 | - | - | 49 | - | 56 (4) | 55 (3) | 57 (2) | 45 (4) | 46 (4) | 45 (6) | 48 (5) | 59 (3) | 52 (4) | 58 (4) | 12 | 32 | - | 12 | 52 | 36 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Marlfield Adab 1y 6 | - | - | 48 | - | 58 (4) | 44 (6) | 57 (3) | 49 (5) | 55 (4) | 33 (6) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 51 | 40 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Minor Cashoutb 1y 5 | - | - | 51 | - | 61 (2) | 49 (5) | 62 (2) | 43 (6) | 56 (4) | 63 (2) | 51 (4) | 72 (1) | 58 (2) | 49 (5) | 14 | 26 | 34 | 29 | 56 | 46 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Foxrock Cooperd 1y 13 | - | - | 30 | - | 34 (6) | 68 (1) | 48 (4) | 34 (6) | 30 (6) | 43 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Samrose Bonnieb 2y 15 | - | - | 60 | - | 56 (5) | 53 (4) | 53 (5) | 45 (6) | 51 (6) | 56 (5) | 62 (4) | 75 (3) | 71 (2) | 73 (1) | 10 | 21 | 26 | 11 | 56 | 43 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Bluehill | 29.39 | 29.70 | 29.91 | 53 | +0.52 | Best trap | |
| 2 | Chamberlain Lily | 29.51 | 29.95 | 29.69 | 49 | +0.18 | Consistent | |
| 3 | Marlfield Ada | 29.44 | 29.85 | 30.04 | 48 | +0.60 | Weak trap | |
| 4 | Minor Cashout | 29.53 | 29.76 | 29.82 | 51 | +0.29 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Foxrock Cooper | 29.60 | 30.25 | 30.54 | 30 | +0.94 | Slowest, heavy | |
| 6 | Samrose Bonnie | 29.10 | 29.60 | 29.89 | 60 | +0.79 | Fastest, good trap |
Clonmel is a tight, tricky 525m circuit where the trap draw does most of the early work — trap 1 is easily the best box at this course and distance, winning almost one in four (22.5% from 549 A6 runs), with trap 6 also productive at 18.1%. The middle draws struggle badly: trap 3 (9.7%) and trap 4 (8.1%) have been the graveyard boxes at this level. Tonight's field is well spread across the draw, and with Samrose Bonnie boasting the fastest recorded time here and drawn in that favoured trap 6, she looks the type to lead the way home. Minor Cashout arrives in better recent form and rates highest on the model's composite score, but trap 4's dismal record here is a real complication. Expect a workmanlike gallop rather than a hot pace, with the inside and wide-clear draws holding the aces.
The fastest recorded time in this field by some way — her career-best of 29.10 here is quicker than anything else in the six, and she rates as the sharpest on the clock tonight. She's dropping in company too, coming down through A5 grade with career-best form built against tougher A3 opposition and a win at this exact A6 level back in April, so tonight's grade should suit. Add in trap 6, the second-most productive draw at this course and distance at 18.1% from 549 runs, and she ties for the best average performance rating in the race. The one with the most going for her tonight.
Nearly won last time out at this course and distance, beaten only a head having led for most of the way, and the form has been building steadily with figures of 63, 56, 43, 62, 49 and 61 across her last six starts. She ties for the best average performance rating in the race and rates highest on the model's combined score. The complication is the draw — trap 4 has been by far the weakest box at Clonmel A6 525m, winning only 8.1% from 549 runs, which is a real knock against her chances of following up.
Drawn in the best box at Clonmel A6 525m, which wins almost one in four races here, but the form has dipped — last time out he never showed after a good effort two starts back when beaten just half a length. Recent form has come from A4-A5 grade, a notch above tonight's company, so a leg-up in grade from the strongest trap gives him some claims if he rediscovers that earlier level.
Consistent without being spectacular — she's finished fourth in each of her last two starts and her figures rarely stray far from the low-to-mid 50s. Trap 2 is a moderate draw at this course and distance, winning 14.3% of races, and there's little in her recent form to suggest she troubles the front two, but she should get some sort of a run through the race.
Still a lightly raced, developing type, but she's already had seven runs over course and distance and placed third at this grade three starts back. Drawn in trap 3, however, which has been the second-worst box at Clonmel A6 525m at just 9.7% from 549 runs — that's a real obstacle for a dog who still looks to be finding her feet at this level.
Comfortably the slowest recorded time in this field and it showed last time out when well beaten in sixth after being slowly away. He does have a big performance in the locker — a runaway win at A7 grade back in June — but he's carrying more weight than most of these and the pattern of slow starts is a real concern from trap 5. Others have much stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: Trap 4 has been the weakest draw at this level (8.1% from 549 runs) while trap 1 dominates at 22.5% — the model's top-rated dog tonight, Minor Cashout, is drawn in that poor trap 4, a genuine complication for the favourite on paper.
T1:22.5% T2:14.3% T3:9.7% T4:8.1% T5:11.8% T6:18.1%
549 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.