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The Upcoming Sweepstakes A4 / A5 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Circus Bulletd 3y 23 | - | - | 39 | - | 57 (5) | 83 (1) | 45 (6) | 39 (6) | 91 (1) | 67 (3) | 76 (2) | 69 (3) | 58 (5) | 67 (3) | 15 | 31 | 17 | 17 | 64 | 36 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Wilderness Freyab 1y 16 | - | - | 47 | - | 49 (6) | 72 (3) | 60 (2) | 58 (2) | 70 (2) | 64 (2) | 70 (3) | 41 (5) | - | - | 16 | 26 | 21 | 25 | 61 | 45 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cuteen Pipd 3y 26 | - | - | 43 | - | 46 (5) | 56 (3) | 50 (6) | 63 (4) | 77 (2) | 84 (1) | 53 (5) | 68 (4) | 62 (4) | 62 (2) | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 60 | 39 | 6 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slaneyside Loub 1y 5 | Derek Kehoe — 23% R120 W27 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 61 (5) | 68 (2) | 66 (3) | 54 (5) | 45 (4) | 48 (2) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | 20 | - | 11 | 58 | 49 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Emers Mabelb 1y 6 | Emer Dunne — 28% R25 W7 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 60 (5) | 56 (6) | 74 (3) | 79 (1) | 45 (4) | 47 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 28 | - | 14 | 61 | 51 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glenbervie Foxyb 2y 36 | - | - | 53 | - | 65 (2) | 55 (5) | 60 (3) | 56 (5) | 84 (1) | 74 (2) | 69 (3) | 49 (5) | 52 (5) | 62 (4) | 25 | 25 | 34 | 29 | 63 | 47 | 1 | 11/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Circus Bullet | 29.38 | 29.87 | 29.86 | 39 | +0.48 | Best trap | |
| 2 | Wilderness Freya | 29.11 | 29.64 | 29.89 | 47 | +0.78 | Chronic runner-up | |
| 3 | Cuteen Pip | 29.25 | 29.58 | 30.07 | 43 | +0.82 | Worst trap | |
| 4 | Slaneyside Lou | 29.18 | 29.42 | 29.33 | 59 | +0.15 | Fastest, model pick | |
| 5 | Emers Mabel | 29.03 | 29.39 | 29.56 | 58 | +0.53 | Top composite | |
| 6 | Glenbervie Foxy | 29.21 | 29.52 | 29.50 | 53 | +0.29 | Best trap, consistent |
At Clonmel's A4 level over 525m, speed rating is king — the fastest dog in the field wins a huge 25.3% of races here from 1,046 runs, comfortably the strongest single signal on the whole card, while the composite model's edge is much thinner at 17.5%. Trap 6 (18.6%) and trap 1 (18.0%) are the two best boxes, with trap 3 the clear graveyard at just 9.3%. Slaneyside Lou carries the fastest recorded time in this field and drops down having last been seen in tougher A3 company, while Emers Mabel — the model's top-rated dog — isn't far behind on the clock and arrives from the same grade. Neither is drawn in the favoured boxes, so this looks a race where raw pace decides matters more than the draw.
Carries the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field, and speed rating is by far the strongest signal at Clonmel's A4 525m level — the fastest dog in the field wins better than one in four races here. She's dropping back in from tougher A3 company, where she's been competitive without quite landing a race, and trainer Derek Kehoe operates at a healthy strike rate. Trap 4 isn't the strongest draw, but on a track where raw pace trumps the trap far more than usual, that's a price worth paying.
Rates as the model's top-scored dog tonight and isn't far behind Slaneyside Lou on the clock either, with trainer Emer Dunne sitting on a strong strike rate of better than one in four. She won readily at A5 three starts back and, while her last two efforts have been quieter, she arrives from the same tougher A3 level as the selection. The one most likely to turn the tables if the pace query goes the other way.
Drawn in one of the two best boxes at this level, but her figures are wildly inconsistent — a dominant win two starts back sandwiched between three well-beaten efforts, and she's also the slowest dog in this particular field on the clock. Some of her big recent scores came in 300m sprint company, which doesn't translate directly to this longer 525m test. The trap helps, but there's little else here to inspire confidence.
A model of consistency without ever quite getting her head in front — she's been placed second in four of her last seven starts, including twice at this exact grade recently. Trap 2 is a modest draw at this level, winning 14.2% from 1,046 runs, and while she'll get every chance to be involved, there's nothing in the data pointing to a first win coming tonight rather than another placed effort.
Drawn in the clear worst box at this level, winning just 9.3% from 1,046 runs, and she's also the widest margin off her own best time of anyone in the race. She does have a win in her locker from two months back, but the last two starts have both been well beaten and there's little in the recent data to suggest she overcomes the draw tonight.
Drawn in the best box at this level, winning 18.6% from 1,046 runs, and has been racing consistently well, with a win at this exact grade seven weeks ago and a clear second last time out. Her recorded times sit mid-pack rather than at the sharp end, but the favourable draw and steady round of form make her a solid include for the places even if she's short of the pace of the pick and the danger.
Key insight: Speed rating is the standout factor at this level — the fastest dog in the field wins 25.3% of races, far ahead of the composite model's top pick at 17.5%. Tonight's two fastest dogs, Slaneyside Lou and Emers Mabel, are both dropping in from tougher A3 grade.
T1:18.0% T2:14.2% T3:9.3% T4:12.8% T5:13.4% T6:18.6%
1,046 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Circus Bullet | 0.560 | 0.569 |
| 2 | Wilderness Freya | — | 0.565 |
| 3 | Cuteen Pip | — | 0.563 |
| 4 | Slaneyside Lou | — | 0.562 |
| 5 | Emers Mabel | — | 0.562 |
| 6 | Glenbervie Foxy | — | 0.562 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.