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The Sporting Press On Line Edition Open 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Evenstar Ladyb 2y 16 | - | - | 51 | - | 84 (2) | 96 (1) | 83 (3) | 74 (2) | 81 (2) | 83 (2) | 77 (4) | 97 (1) | 62 (5) | 51 (5) | 57 | 47 | 20 | 48 | 82 | 59 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bogger Callieb 2y 36 | Ms. Dora Hattemore — 17% R41 W7 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 33 (5) | 63 (6) | 66 (4) | 46 (5) | 59 (2) | 75 (2) | 83 (2) | 75 (4) | 73 (4) | 69 (5) | 29 | 31 | 20 | 13 | 59 | 28 | 6 | 15/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Chasing Pauld 2y 24 | David Hickey — 11% R27 W3 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 77 (3) | 85 (1) | 70 (4) | 64 (2) | 55 (5) | 52 (5) | 56 (5) | 46 (6) | 63 (5) | 39 (5) | - | 15 | - | 17 | 66 | 37 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Hayleyb 3y 18 | Aaron O'Hanlon — 31% R16 W5 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 99 (1) | 79 (3) | 96 (1) | 92 (1) | 93 (1) | 88 (2) | 57 (5) | 74 (3) | 69 (5) | 84 (2) | 44 | 60 | 17 | 62 | 86 | 56 | 3 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Petshop Farewelld 4y 23 | Maurice Organ — 13% R16 W2 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 75 (2) | 100 (1) | 81 (3) | 87 (2) | 95 (1) | 94 (1) | 94 (1) | 53 (6) | 62 (3) | 63 (6) | 30 | 45 | 26 | 51 | 84 | 55 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Clondoty Joed 3y 17 | - | - | 55 | - | 98 (1) | 97 (1) | 88 (2) | 68 (3) | 70 (4) | 50 (3) | 57 (5) | 100 (1) | 97 (1) | 82 (3) | 48 | 55 | 40 | 56 | 83 | 62 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Forever | 28.89 | 29.07 | 29.02 | 54 | +0.13 | A shade below top three | |
| 2 | Bogger Callie | 29.26 | 29.26 | 29.26 | 41 | 0.00 | Weakest rated | |
| 3 | Chasing Paul | 29.04 | 29.57 | 29.04 | 42 | 0.00 | Trending up | |
| 4 | Swift Hayley | 28.99 | 29.17 | 29.08 | 50 | +0.09 | Career-best LTO | |
| 5 | Petshop Farewell | 28.92 | 29.26 | 28.93 | 51 | +0.01 | Best trap, career peak 100 | |
| 6 | Clondoty Joe | 28.88 | 29.13 | 28.91 | 55 | +0.03 | Red-hot, model pick |
This is the cream of the crop tonight — Clonmel's top A0 grade, and the trap and composite numbers here come from a small sample of just 199 runs, so treat them as a lean rather than gospel. Trap 5 (17.1%) and trap 6 (14.3%) have edged it as the better boxes recently. On form, though, this is genuinely three into one: Clondoty Joe arrives red-hot after back-to-back career-best runs, Swift Hayley posted a career-high figure last time out with the strongest trainer in the race, and Petshop Farewell has a career-best of 100 in the book and the best trap on offer. This looks the most open, competitive heat of the night.
Arrives white hot, with back-to-back figures of 98 and 97 in his last two starts, including a dominant win last time out. He tops the model's composite score, shares the fastest recorded time in the field, and sits in a productive trap. When a dog is putting up numbers like that at this level, it's hard to oppose him, even in an admittedly stacked field.
Posted a career-high figure of 99 last time out, winning impressively, and her whole recent record is exceptional — barely a run below 79 in her last six starts. Trainer Aaron O'Hanlon has the best strike rate of any connection in this race at better than three in ten. The only knock is the draw, which has produced few winners from this small sample, but on ability alone she's right at the head of this market.
Decent without being spectacular in this company — third last time out and with a big peak of 96 three starts back, though his last two runs of 74 and 48 have been a step below that level. Trap 1 is a fair draw at this small-sample grade, winning 12.1%. He's the type who could sneak into the frame but looks to need this top trio to have an off night.
The weakest of the six on both the model score and average performance, and her last outing was actually over 550m rather than tonight's 525m, adding an extra layer of uncertainty. Trainer Dora Hattemore has a reasonable overall strike rate, but there's little in the data here to suggest she troubles this calibre of field.
Trending in the right direction — his last two starts of 77 and 85 are his best figures in some time, and he was third last time out at this exact grade. Trainer David Hickey's strike rate is modest, and the draw here has produced very few winners in a small sample, but the recent upward trend is worth noting even if the top three still look out of his range.
A career-best figure of 100 sits in her recent form, and she's been racing at an extremely high level throughout — barely a figure below 75 in her last six starts, including a narrow second last time out. Trainer Maurice Organ's overall strike rate is modest, but she's drawn in the best trap of the small sample on offer at this grade. A serious player in a race full of them.
Key insight: This is a small sample at Clonmel's top grade (199 runs), so the trap and rank splits are more of a lean than a certainty. On form alone, three dogs — Clondoty Joe, Swift Hayley and Petshop Farewell — have all posted career-best or near-career-best figures in their last two starts, making this one of the most genuinely competitive heats of the night.
T1:12.1% T2:3.3% T3:5.6% T4:6.7% T5:17.1% T6:14.3%
199 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 325m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evenstar Lady | — | — | 0.555 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Bogger Callie | — | — | 0.552 | 0.568 | 0.549 | 0.565 |
| 3 | Chasing Paul | 0.568 | 0.558 | 0.561 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Swift Hayley | — | — | 0.553 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Petshop Farewell | — | — | 0.554 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Clondoty Joe | — | — | 0.553 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.