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The Youghal Track Supporters Club 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Witches Larryd 2y 27 | - | - | 53 | - | 64 (2) | 57 (2) | 33 (5) | 66 (2) | 49 (5) | 58 (2) | 67 (6) | 60 (2) | 77 (3) | - | 13 | 42 | 31 | 40 | 57 | 42 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Gagas Gubble Gunb 3y 17 | Bernadette Connolly — 15% R52 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 60 (2) | 38 (6) | 37 (6) | 47 (4) | 51 (4) | 39 (6) | 75 (1) | 52 (5) | 60 (2) | 56 (4) | 27 | 35 | 25 | 30 | 50 | 41 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Marys Wisdomb 1y 33 | John Hickey — 19% R37 W7 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 36 (6) | 46 (4) | 58 (2) | 47 (5) | 54 (3) | 52 (2) | - | - | - | - | 3 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 47 | 32 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Caireal Goldb 1y 4 | - | - | 49 | - | 52 (4) | 55 (3) | 49 (5) | 69 (1) | 44 (3) | 60 (2) | 46 (5) | 40 (5) | 43 (5) | 49 (2) | 25 | 32 | 34 | 22 | 52 | 42 | 2 | 9/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaneyside Croib 2y 5 | Derek Kehoe — 23% R120 W27 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 48 (3) | 48 (4) | 51 (3) | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 46 (5) | 51 (3) | 62 (3) | 55 (3) | 53 (2) | 30 | 24 | 33 | 15 | 51 | 41 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Groundworkd 1y 11 | - | - | 47 | - | 55 (4) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 55 | 39 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Witches Larry | 29.73 | 30.08 | 29.77 | 53 | +0.04 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Gagas Gubble Gun | 29.62 | 30.10 | 29.93 | 52 | +0.31 | ||
| 3 | Marys Wisdom | 29.70 | 30.07 | 30.32 | 45 | +0.62 | ||
| 4 | Caireal Gold | 29.73 | 30.18 | 29.87 | 50 | +0.14 | ||
| 5 | Slaneyside Croi | 29.76 | 30.14 | 30.20 | 45 | +0.44 | ||
| 6 | Opee Dasher | 29.74 | 30.18 | 29.92 | 49 | +0.18 |
This A7 heat over 525 metres sits in a genuinely tight, low grade where trap 3 and trap 4 have been the more productive boxes at Youghal and trap 6 the weakest — and the field itself is unusually bunched, with barely ten points separating the best and worst average performance figures. Witches Larry stands out as much for consistency as raw ability, placing in six of his last ten runs at this course and distance and topping the field on both average form and recorded speed, even from a middling trap. Caireal Gold, drawn in one of the better boxes, is the clearest each-way alternative in a race that lacks a standout on paper.
Tops this admittedly tight field on both average performance and recorded speed, and has been remarkably consistent at this course and distance — six places from his last ten runs at this exact test, the best placing percentage in the race even without a recent win to show for it. Trap 1 has been a reasonably productive box at this grade. In a race where nothing else stands out clearly, the combination of pace and reliability gives him the clearest claim.
Drawn in one of the more productive boxes at this grade and produced her career-best performance rating two runs back, a level that would take strong beating in this field if repeated. Course and distance record shows one win and three places from ten. Recorded speed is a touch below the selection's. The clearest alternative in a race that's tight on paper.
A remarkably consistent sort — her last six performance figures sit in a tight band between 43 and 59, never far away but rarely peaking either. Trainer Derek Kehoe has a fair strike rate. Course and distance record of two places from ten is modest. Reliable without having the pace edge to trouble the leading pair.
Placed last time out and matches a competitive recorded speed figure, though her average form over the last six runs has been modest, ranging from the high thirties to the low sixties. Trainer Bernadette Connolly has a fair strike rate. Course and distance record of one win and three places from ten is workmanlike. A place-minded runner rather than a leading threat.
Placed last time out from the same grade and trip. Trap 6 has been the weakest-performing box at this level at Youghal, a genuine structural negative. Trainer Colin Townend has yet to register a win with this runner's recent starts. Course and distance record of two places from ten is modest. The poor draw is the main obstacle here.
Carries the lowest average performance figure in the field after finishing last time out. Trap 3 has been one of the better boxes at this grade, which offers some encouragement, but the recent form needs to improve substantially to be competitive with the pace-setters here.
Key insight: Trap 3 (17.5%) and trap 4 (16.8%) are the strongest boxes at A7 level here, trap 6 clearly the weakest (10%). A tightly-bunched, moderate grade where the model's own top pick wins only around 15% — consistency and placing record carry real weight.
Trap 1:15.45% Trap 2:16.35% Trap 3:17.5% Trap 4:16.79% Trap 5:13.03% Trap 6:9.96%
1,523 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.