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The Y.T.S.C Lotto 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kilquan Sallyb 2y 25 | - | - | 47 | - | 57 (5) | 60 (4) | 52 (4) | 60 (2) | 73 (1) | 58 (4) | 53 (4) | 53 (5) | 65 (3) | 56 (5) | 26 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 27 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kind Tippb 2y 16 | Bernadette Connolly — 15% R52 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 64 (2) | 81 (1) | 43 (6) | 52 (5) | 73 (2) | 45 (6) | 83 (1) | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 39 (5) | - | 45 | 40 | 43 | 63 | 49 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Garryvoe Bulletd 3y 2 | - | - | 63 | - | 63 (5) | 50 (6) | 48 (6) | 59 (4) | 87 (1) | 59 (3) | 73 (3) | 52 (6) | 50 (5) | 63 (4) | 12 | 15 | 52 | 21 | 60 | 48 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mumhan Jetd 2y 24 | John Hickey — 19% R37 W7 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 65 (3) | 57 (3) | 57 (2) | 51 (4) | 70 (2) | 69 (3) | 59 (3) | 72 (5) | 78 (2) | - | 46 | 30 | 12 | 25 | 62 | 45 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dower Dasherd 2y 14 | - | - | 44 | - | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 51 (4) | 54 (5) | 60 (4) | 71 (1) | 55 (3) | 50 (3) | 41 (5) | 68 (1) | 23 | 23 | - | 26 | 59 | 41 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Slaheny Steepleb 3y 5 | - | - | 58 | - | 81 (1) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 63 (4) | 75 (1) | 75 (1) | 60 (4) | 60 (5) | 72 (2) | 74 (2) | 27 | 33 | 14 | 42 | 70 | 56 | 2 | 5/2F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilquan Sally | 29.46 | 29.82 | 29.89 | 48 | +0.43 | ||
| 2 | Kind Tipp | 29.34 | 29.74 | 29.74 | 54 | +0.40 | ||
| 3 | Cavies Ella | 29.85 | 30.14 | 30.02 | 34 | +0.17 | ||
| 4 | Mumhan Jet | 29.48 | 29.76 | 29.56 | 54 | +0.08 | ||
| 5 | Dower Dasher | 29.44 | 29.98 | 29.84 | 46 | +0.40 | ||
| 6 | Slaheny Steeple | 29.42 | 29.64 | 29.45 | 59 | +0.03 | Model pick |
An A4 heat over the 525 metres where trap 4 has been the best-performing box at Youghal and trap 1 the clear worst. The story of this race, though, is one dog in visibly better form than the rest of the field. Slaheny Steeple has won last time out, tops the field on both average performance and recorded speed, and hasn't produced a single poor run through her last six starts — a level of consistency nobody else here can match. She races from a below-average trap, but when a dog is this far clear on raw form the draw becomes a secondary concern. Kind Tipp and Dower Dasher both have strong course and distance percentages and look the leading candidates to chase her home.
Simply in a different league to this field on current form — she tops the race for both average performance and recorded speed, and her last six starts read 81, 65, 69, 63, 75, 75, with not a single poor run in the sequence. She won readily last time out with her best figure of the campaign. Course and distance record of three wins and six places from ten matches the best in the race. Trap 6 hasn't been among the stronger boxes at this grade, but a dog this far ahead on raw ability and consistency should overcome that.
Matches the pick's course and distance percentage almost exactly — three wins and six places from ten runs at this exact test — and placed last time out. Trainer Bernadette Connolly has a fair strike rate. Speed rating is solidly mid-pack rather than top-tier, so she'll need her proven local form to make up the ground on raw pace. The clearest alternative in a race that otherwise looks to belong to one dog.
Produced her career-best performance rating two runs back and shares a strong course and distance record — three wins and three places from ten. Speed rating is respectable without matching the very best in the field. A fair trap for this grade. Capable of running into the frame but needs a career-best to trouble the front two.
Drawn in the box that has produced the most winners at this grade over this trip. Course and distance record of one win and four places from ten is a fair percentage. Trainer John Hickey has a decent strike rate. Speed rating and average form both sit around midfield, meaning the good draw is doing most of the work in his case.
Finished fifth last time out from trap 1, which has been comfortably the weakest-performing box at this grade at Youghal. Course and distance record of one win and two places from six is workmanlike rather than outstanding. The poor draw compounds a modest recent form line, making her hard to fancy in this company.
Her most recent run came over a shorter sprint trip rather than this standard distance, so she returns to more suitable ground here. Course and distance record at this exact test shows no wins from eight runs, a genuine concern. Recorded speed is the slowest in this field. Hard to make a strong case against opponents with much better local form.
Key insight: Trap 4 is the best-performing box at A4 level here (20.9%) and trap 1 by far the worst (7.3%). This race, though, is decided by one dog's clear superiority in current form rather than the draw.
Trap 1:7.32% Trap 2:14.29% Trap 3:18.01% Trap 4:20.86% Trap 5:16.13% Trap 6:12.34%
965 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilquan Sally | — | 0.568 |
| 2 | Kind Tipp | — | 0.568 |
| 3 | Garryvoe Bullet | 0.563 | 0.561 |
| 4 | Mumhan Jet | — | 0.567 |
| 5 | Dower Dasher | — | 0.571 |
| 6 | Slaheny Steeple | — | 0.565 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.