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The Upcoming Events @ Youghal 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Witches Eastd 5y 35 | - | - | 51 | - | 69 (1) | 50 (2) | 52 (2) | 45 (5) | 55 (4) | 69 (1) | 55 (3) | 51 (4) | 44 (5) | 52 (4) | 12 | 16 | - | 34 | 56 | 28 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyhill Millyb 1y 3 | - | - | 50 | - | 51 (4) | 44 (4) | 47 (5) | 70 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 41 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Castlerock Abbyb 3y 8 | - | - | 44 | - | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 47 (2) | 43 (5) | 36 (4) | 47 (4) | 39 (5) | 67 (1) | 52 (2) | 53 (3) | 36 | 25 | 4 | 34 | 52 | 45 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bartlemy Leed 4y 16 | Mark Drinan — 35% R17 W6 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 59 (3) | 63 (3) | 62 (4) | 57 (4) | 51 (5) | 57 (5) | 63 (3) | 63 (3) | 69 (2) | 57 (2) | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 47 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lang Shiningd 3y 23 | Ms. Dora Hattemore — 17% R41 W7 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 55 (4) | 17 (6) | 58 (2) | 60 (6) | 60 (2) | 71 (3) | 62 (2) | 47 (3) | 82 (6) | - | 18 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 60 | 45 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Shlowdown Rangerd 4y 44 | Bernadette Connolly — 15% R52 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 41 (6) | 50 (6) | 39 (4) | 46 (6) | 52 (4) | 45 (5) | 60 (5) | 57 (6) | 10 | 35 | - | 6 | 48 | 31 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Witches East | 29.77 | 30.14 | 29.82 | 47 | +0.05 | ||
| 2 | Hollyhill Milly | 29.64 | 30.13 | 30.03 | 45 | +0.39 | ||
| 3 | Cavies Champ | 29.58 | 29.85 | 29.76 | 56 | +0.18 | ||
| 4 | Bartlemy Lee | 29.46 | 29.81 | 29.88 | 57 | +0.42 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Lang Shining | 29.46 | 29.80 | 30.19 | 52 | +0.73 | ||
| 6 | Shlowdown Ranger | 29.91 | 30.31 | 30.07 | 37 | +0.16 |
This A6 heat over 525 metres sits at a grade where the raw ratings are only a moderate guide at Youghal — the top-rated dog wins under a fifth of the time here, so trainers in form and the right trap matter more than usual. Trap 4 has been the best-performing box at this level, with trap 2 clearly the weakest. Bartlemy Lee ticks the most boxes: he's drawn in that favoured trap 4, shares the fastest recorded time in the field, and is trained by the meeting's form trainer with a strike rate comfortably clear of anyone else on this card. Cavies Champ, matching him for pace and carrying the best average figure in the race, is the obvious one to beat him.
Drawn in the trap that has produced the most winners at this grade at Youghal and shares the fastest recorded time in the field. Trainer Mark Drinan has by some distance the best strike rate of any handler represented on this card, a genuine positive when a yard is sending out a single runner in form. Course and distance form hasn't yet produced a win from ten attempts, but he's been consistently around the frame with two places, and the combination of the good trap, the pace, and the trainer's form is the strongest overall package in this race.
Carries the highest average performance figure in the field and matches the fastest recorded time. Course and distance record of two wins and four places from ten is a fair percentage. Trap 3 has been a moderate box at this grade rather than a stand-out one, which is the only thing holding him back from a stronger claim. The clearest challenger to the pick on raw ability.
Won readily two runs back, matching the highest peak performance figure in this field, and comes from a reasonably productive trap for this grade. Course and distance record of two wins and four places from ten is solid. The form since that win has been a touch inconsistent, but the proven capability is there if she reproduces it.
Form has been volatile, dropping to a single-figure rating two runs back before bouncing to a solid placing last time out — that dip looks more like a bad night than a genuine decline given the level either side of it. Trainer Dora Hattemore has a fair strike rate. Very little course and distance history to lean on, and trap 5 hasn't been among the stronger boxes at this grade.
Lightly raced with only four runs logged, so the sample is thin, but she showed a big performance four runs back that nobody else in this smaller sample has matched. Trap 2 has been the weakest box at this grade at Youghal, which is a real structural negative to overcome. Limited course and distance experience means this is more of an unknown quantity than a confident claim.
Carries the lowest average performance figure and slowest recorded time in this field, and the recent scoreline has been consistently modest without a standout effort. Course and distance record shows no wins or places from ten runs at this exact test, a genuine concern. Hard to make a case for her against this opposition.
Key insight: Trap 4 is the strongest box at A6 level here (17.5%) and trap 2 by far the weakest (8.7%). The model's own top pick only wins around one in five at this grade, so trainer form and draw matter more than the raw rating.
Trap 1:16% Trap 2:8.74% Trap 3:13.11% Trap 4:17.51% Trap 5:10.7% Trap 6:16.57%
1,080 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 730m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Witches East | 0.574 | — | — |
| 2 | Hollyhill Milly | 0.574 | — | — |
| 3 | Castlerock Abby | 0.579 | — | — |
| 4 | Bartlemy Lee | 0.568 | — | — |
| 5 | Lang Shining | 0.568 | — | 0.589 |
| 6 | Shlowdown Ranger | 0.577 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.