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The Lucky Last 325
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rings Cocod 3y 25 | - | - | 45 | - | 45 (4) | 48 (4) | 44 (5) | 38 (6) | 36 (6) | 50 (5) | 62 (3) | 69 (1) | 52 (4) | 53 (3) | 2 | 20 | - | - | 48 | 21 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Seaview Hoffad 2y 25 | Nicholas Walsh — 29% R34 W10 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 54 (4) | 49 (5) | 47 (4) | 56 (2) | 34 (6) | 37 (6) | 75 (1) | 35 (6) | 73 (1) | 35 (6) | - | 26 | - | - | 50 | 26 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Brisbane Boysd 2y 14 | - | - | 37 | - | 36 (4) | 33 (6) | 45 (5) | 30 (6) | 46 (3) | 48 (4) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 48 (2) | 30 (4) | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Whitty Rambod 4y 37 | - | - | 56 | - | 53 (2) | 39 (4) | 39 (5) | 37 (6) | 38 (5) | 46 (3) | 36 (6) | 40 (5) | 30 (5) | 45 (4) | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bitter Bryand 2y 8 | - | - | 60 | - | 58 (2) | 43 (5) | 50 (4) | 62 (1) | 64 (1) | 62 (1) | 39 (6) | 38 (5) | 47 (5) | 27 (6) | 19 | 36 | 61 | 46 | 52 | 47 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Carefree Swiftb 2y 6 | Bernadette Connolly — 15% R52 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 63 (1) | 46 (3) | 47 (4) | 42 (5) | 35 (6) | 62 (1) | 43 (5) | 64 (1) | 32 (5) | - | 5 | 28 | 37 | 31 | 49 | 36 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rings Coco | 18.60 | 18.60 | 18.60 | 45 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Seaview Hoffa | 18.44 | 18.76 | 18.50 | 45 | +0.06 | ||
| 3 | Brisbane Boys | 18.53 | 18.85 | 18.85 | 37 | +0.32 | ||
| 4 | Whitty Rambo | 18.38 | 18.38 | 18.38 | 56 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Bitter Bryan | 18.22 | 18.39 | 18.22 | 60 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Carefree Swift | 18.21 | 18.58 | 18.29 | 56 | +0.08 |
The last of the sprints on this card over Youghal's minimum 325 metre trip, where early pace off the traps decides almost everything and there's little time for a slow-starter to make amends. The sample for this exact grade is thin, but the fastest recorded dog in the field has converted into the winner well over a third of the time in what data does exist — the clearest signal available. Bitter Bryan ticks every box here: fastest on the clock, best average figure in the race, and a specialist course and distance record built on half his runs at this exact test ending in victory. Carefree Swift, who won last time out with a strong local record of his own, is the obvious danger.
Ticks every box in this sprint — comfortably the fastest recorded time in the field, the highest average performance figure, and a specialist course and distance record of three wins from six at this exact test, a 50% strike rate that stands out even against a small sample size for the grade. His last six performance figures have all sat in a tight, competitive band with no bad runs in the mix, showing genuine reliability at this trip. The clearest case in the race.
Won last time out with his best figure of the campaign and shares a strong specialist course and distance record — three wins from eight at this exact test. Matches a competitive recorded speed figure, just behind the selection. Trainer Bernadette Connolly has a fair strike rate. The clearest threat to the pick on both current form and local proof.
Placed last time out and carries a competitive recorded speed figure, the second-quickest in the field. Course and distance experience is minimal at just one run, which did produce a place. Average performance figure is more modest than the leading pair. An each-way watching brief rather than a leading claim.
Trainer Nicholas Walsh has a decent strike rate, but this runner has no prior form at this exact course and distance test, having raced mainly over the standard 525 metre trip. Recorded speed and average performance are both around the lower end of this field. A genuine unknown at the sprint trip.
Carries the lowest average performance figure and slowest recorded time in this field, and recent form has been consistently modest without a standout effort. Course and distance record shows just one place from eight runs at this exact test. Hard to make a case for him against sharper types in this race.
Form has been modest and fairly flat through his recent starts, without a standout effort in the mix. Only one prior run at this course and distance test limits what can be read into his specific local form. Recorded speed sits toward the lower end of this field. More of an makeweight than a leading contender here.
Key insight: A thin sample for this exact sprint grade, but the fastest recorded dog in the field has won over 36% of the time in what data exists — comfortably the strongest single signal, and it lines up with the pick's specialist course and distance record.
Trap 1:15.38% Trap 2:0% Trap 3:12.5% Trap 4:18.75% Trap 5:18.18% Trap 6:6.67%
85 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 325m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 325m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (325m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rings Coco | 0.572 | — | 0.575 |
| 2 | Seaview Hoffa | — | — | 0.577 |
| 3 | Brisbane Boys | 0.580 | 0.562 | — |
| 4 | Whitty Rambo | 0.566 | — | 0.587 |
| 5 | Bitter Bryan | 0.566 | — | 0.585 |
| 6 | Carefree Swift | 0.572 | — | 0.595 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.