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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Freyas Lulab 2y 18 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 49 | 37 (6) | 37 (5) | 36 (6) | 52 (2) | 39 (6) | 52 (2) | 48 (2) | 29 (5) | 42 (2) | 26 (6) | 51 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 3 | 5/6F | |
| 2 | ▶ Valkyrie Warriorb 3y 44 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 51 (5) | 65 (3) | 74 (3) | 56 (1) | 45 (4) | 41 (6) | 44 (4) | 38 (3) | 57 (4) | - | 38 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 45 | 37 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Greencroft Ritab 2y 16 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 48 | 30 (6) | 28 (4) | 33 (6) | 47 (2) | 40 (4) | 36 (4) | 38 (4) | 43 (2) | 49 (2) | 38 (3) | 42 | 32 | - | 18 | 39 | 36 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Cassieb 3y 5 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 41 | 33 (5) | 44 (3) | 28 (6) | 24 (6) | 37 (4) | 56 (1) | 43 (4) | 32 (5) | 28 (6) | 36 (5) | 34 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 37 | 32 | 6 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bright Robynb 3y 15 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 54 (1) | 42 (2) | 38 (5) | 49 (2) | 35 (5) | 29 (6) | 46 (3) | 44 (3) | 34 (6) | 45 (5) | 24 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 40 | 32 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Coolemore Southd 5y 34 | J M Liles — 19% R423 W79 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 44 (4) | 39 (5) | 39 (4) | 60 (1) | 37 (3) | 57 (1) | 37 (5) | 24 (3) | 47 (3) | 51 (2) | 31 | 31 | 64 | 25 | 41 | 37 | 1 | 9/2 | |
The structural favourite. Drawn in the dominant T6 trap — 32% win rate from 160 runs at A8, the best position by 4 points. Her form trajectory is the best in the field: A7 5th, then D5 3rd (sprint), then A7 3rd, 2nd, 1st — she WON at A7 and then placed twice before dropping to A8. This is the clearest class drop on the Towcester card. P=41 is near field-best. Best EP among All-Rounders (53) with a sustainable profile (CS 33 is moderate). Best suitability in the field (trk 31, dist 25, trap 31, mean 29). Liles at 16% is below average — the one negative. Bend 52 is joint-best. The combination of A7 winning form + dominant T6 trap + best pace among sustainers is the pick. The A7-to-A8 grade drop means her ability is understated by the A8 field comparison — she's proven she can win at a higher grade.
DANGER: Best P + A7 form dropping to A8 = class advantage. All-Rounder sustains. But poor suitability and weak trap position limit confidence. The class edge is real but the conditions don't favour him.
Spectacular speed (62, 14 clear) trapped in the dead T1 draw (8%). A Closer from T1 can't use the rail. Never won at A8. The speed says she should win; the trap says she won't.
T3 trap (28.57%) + best EP gives her early prominence, but CS 11 and P=39 suggest she'll set the pace and be caught. Pacemaker role benefits the sustainers behind her.
Five consecutive 5th/6th finishes in a form collapse. Dropping through grades and still losing. Can be confidently opposed.
One A8 2nd from inconsistent form. Worst suitability and weakest trainer. Not enough structural support for a pick.
T6 dominates at 32% and T3 at 28.57% — between them they win over 60% of A8 500m races. T1 at just 8% is effectively dead. SR2 beats SR1 at 23.33% — upsets are common. Small sample (160 runs) means percentages are volatile but the T6/T3 dominance is stark.
T6:32% T3:28.57% T1:8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Freyas Lula | 43 | 77 | Closer |
2Valkyrie Warrior | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Greencroft Rita | 54 | 11 | All-Rounder |
4Magical Cassie | 44 | 58 | Closer |
5Bright Robyn | 50 | 48 | All-Rounder |
6Coolemore South | 53 | 33 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.