Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slippy Debrab 2y 16 | J M Liles — 19% R423 W79 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 57 | 40 (4) | 50 (5) | 36 (5) | 44 (2) | 74 (1) | 59 (3) | 64 (5) | 32 (1) | 47 (1) | - | 42 | 36 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 33 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Damaineb 3y 44 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 31 | 20 (6) | 26 (2) | 29 (6) | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 52 (3) | 32 (2) | 39 (6) | 36 (5) | 56 (2) | 40 | 36 | - | 27 | 30 | 32 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Islab 4y 25 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 58 | 46 (4) | 50 (3) | 55 (3) | 56 (3) | 52 (2) | 53 (4) | 46 (3) | 46 (4) | 24 (3) | 34 (5) | 39 | 16 | - | - | 37 | 34 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Pippab 3y 14 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 53 | 46 (2) | 47 (2) | 30 (6) | 30 (6) | 35 (6) | 25 (6) | 34 (5) | 61 (1) | 44 (3) | 50 (3) | 24 | 29 | - | 24 | 48 | 40 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Sonic Angelb 2y 6 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 39 | 47 (2) | 57 (1) | 42 (4) | 56 (1) | 42 (5) | 27 (6) | 55 (2) | 44 (4) | 53 (2) | 48 (2) | 58 | 43 | 30 | 36 | 44 | 45 | 2 | 9/4 | |
The standout runner in this field by a clear margin. Her avgP of 48 is 4 points clear of the next best (Sonic Angel, 44) and 18 points above the field average of approximately 38. Best speed rating in the field (55) and best first bend rating (55 vs 53 for Sonic Blitzen who isn't in this race — actually 53 for Pippa's bend). All-Rounder pace profile (EP 53, CS 48) is the ideal profile at 500m — she can lead or track and sustain her pace throughout. She's been racing exclusively at A6 grade for her last six runs, with positions of 3rd, 5th, 4th, 4th, 2nd, 2nd — consistent mid-pack to placed form at a grade ABOVE this race. The class drop from A6 to A7 means her ability is understated by the raw A6 finishing positions. Before A6 she was in A5, so this is a dog who has been competing 1-2 grades above this field. Trainer Jeans at 16% isn't a factor, but at this level the dog's class speaks for itself. Pace consistency of 70 is the second-best in the field, suggesting reliable reproduction of her ability.
DANGER: Best suitability scores and best trap win rate, plus improving form from A8 to A7. But EP 29 means starting from last, and Pippa's All-Rounder profile may not come back to her the way a Fader would.
Rail advantage is real but CS 0 Fader at 500m with avgP of 30 in a field with a 48 means she'll lead and fade. The numbers don't support a pick here.
Lowest speed rating in the field by a wide margin (30 vs next-worst 42). Even the right pace profile can't compensate for that ability gap. Hard to see a path to victory.
Decent speed and All-Rounder profile but suitability scores are dire (track 16, distance 0). Could place if Pippa falters but can't be confident picking her ahead of the class leader.
Unusually even trap distribution for Towcester 500m at A7 grade — T5 leads at 21.26% from 127 runs, while T1 is actually the worst at 16.67% from 162 runs. This mutes the normal Towcester T1 advantage. Speed R1 wins 23.45% from 290 runs confirming fastest dog by speed is the best predictor here.
T5:21.26% T2:19.86% T6:19.63% T4:18.71% T3:18.35% T1:16.67%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Slippy Debra | 67 | 0 | Fader |
2Salacres Damaine | 35 | 79 | Closer |
3Swift Isla | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Magical Pippa | 53 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Sonic Angel | 29 | 99 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.