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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Kenzied 3y 7 | P B Philpott — 15% R142 W22 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 36 | 56 (1) | 42 (3) | 38 (3) | 44 (3) | 43 (3) | 41 (2) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 29 (4) | 37 (3) | 43 | 32 | 18 | 53 | 27 | 32 | 4 | 9/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Unknown Jiveb 4y 24 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 41 | 56 (1) | 39 (2) | 42 (2) | 31 (5) | 44 (3) | 43 (2) | 43 (2) | 44 (5) | 56 (1) | 31 (5) | 32 | 25 | 43 | 20 | 42 | 36 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Dyland 2y 37 | F J Gray — 20% R352 W70 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 74 | 44 (4) | 56 (1) | 37 (4) | 56 (1) | 17 (5) | 56 (1) | 47 (3) | 29 (1) | 44 (3) | 23 (3) | 13 | 32 | - | - | 25 | 24 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Choices Peridotd 3y 7 | J M Liles — 19% R425 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 34 (6) | 60 (1) | 41 (4) | 43 (4) | 73 (3) | 44 (4) | 57 (1) | 65 (4) | 36 (4) | 32 (6) | 45 | 31 | 26 | 28 | 36 | 36 | 3 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Magical Herod 3y 26 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 59 | 48 (2) | 36 (4) | 33 (5) | 35 (5) | 38 (4) | 45 (4) | 57 (1) | 47 (3) | 39 (5) | 35 (6) | 26 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 41 | 35 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Rowington Rused 2y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 29 (6) | 28 (6) | 41 (5) | 37 (3) | 53 (1) | 36 (4) | 39 (3) | 32 (6) | 32 (4) | 40 (4) | 45 | 15 | 18 | 23 | 34 | 32 | 5 | 11/1 | |
The fastest dog in the field with a speed rating of 56 — four points clear of the second-fastest, which is a meaningful gap at this level. All-Rounder pace profile with early pace of 54 and the best bend rating among the realistic contenders at 59 means he will be prominent early without burning out. Average performance of 36.0 with a peak of 49 shows he is capable of performing at this grade and above. Form of 3rd, 6th, 3rd, 4th, 3rd, 3rd at A8 shows remarkable consistency — he keeps finishing in the frame without quite winning. Nine course and distance runs with 0 wins and 2 places is the notable concern — like Choices Peridot, he knows the track but has not converted. One trial in the last six is minimal concern (a T3 at the start of the sequence). At Towcester 500m, the fastest dog in the field wins 26.0% of the time — speed is the strongest single predictor ahead of composite.
DANGER: Best performance in the field, grade dropper from A7, and 7 course and distance runs from an inside draw that suits his Closer profile. If the pace is strong enough for him to close into, he can win this.
The course and distance record is eye-catching but the grade jump from D4-D5 to A8 is substantial. Average performance 16 points below the field leader makes it hard to see him competing at this level despite the venue knowledge.
Will lead but likely to weaken. The zero distance suitability and Fader profile at 500m make it hard to see him lasting. May set the race up for closers rather than winning it himself.
Competitive but 0 wins from 7 course and distance runs is telling. Second-fastest speed and decent All-Rounder profile but there is always something that beats him here. Place possibility.
The data doesn't support Rowington Ruse here. Worst trap, slowest speed, and recent form shows a dog consistently finishing in the bottom half of A8 fields. Can be confidently opposed.
Only 160 A8-grade runs at Towcester 500m makes the grade-specific condition data unreliable. The all-grade data from 10,579 runs shows trap 3 at 23.6% is the best structural draw. Speed R1 and Composite R1 diverge in this field — no combo lock fires.
T1:8% T2:8% T3:28.57% T4:12% T5:12% T6:32% (CAUTION: only 160 runs — small sample)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Kenzie | 37 | 76 | Closer |
2Unknown Jive | 44 | 93 | Closer |
3Makeit Dylan | 82 | 0 | Fader |
4Choices Peridot | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
5Magical Hero | 54 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Rowington Ruse | 50 | 35 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.