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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Adachi Red Devilb 2y 8 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 72 | 29 (5) | 25 (5) | 21 (6) | 24 (4) | 34 (4) | 40 (1) | 35 (3) | 32 (4) | 37 (2) | 71 (1) | 57 | 63 | 18 | 63 | 53 | 56 | 2 | 11/10F | |
| 2 | ▶ Darraghs Dreamb 2y 17 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 32 (5) | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 39 (4) | 41 (4) | 33 (3) | 34 (5) | 27 (6) | 31 (3) | 41 (1) | 47 | 51 | 23 | 51 | 41 | 44 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Romeo Shadowd 2y 34 | L G Tuffin — 25% R275 W69 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 30 | 51 (5) | 71 (1) | 45 (5) | 71 (1) | 31 (4) | 30 (4) | 30 (4) | 44 (5) | 46 (5) | 57 (3) | 28 | 32 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 39 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Salthill Albied 3y 18 | J A Knape — 22% R37 W8 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 30 (3) | 25 (6) | 22 (6) | 29 (4) | 40 (1) | 20 (6) | 37 (1) | 27 (5) | 30 (4) | 27 (2) | 38 | 34 | 38 | 44 | 30 | 33 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Hitthelids Lillyb 3y 27 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 27 (4) | 26 (4) | 30 (2) | 31 (2) | 29 (5) | 32 (3) | 29 (3) | 25 (6) | 36 (1) | 45 (1) | 59 | 31 | 26 | 31 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 16/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Bulletd 2y 7 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 23 (6) | 33 (2) | 26 (5) | 32 (4) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 21 (5) | 26 (5) | 34 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 6 | 7/1 | |
The best proven performer in this field with an exceptional course and distance record — 3 wins from 6 runs at Towcester 270m gives a 50% strike rate, far above the baseline. Recent graded form of 3rd, 1st, 3rd, 1st, 1st, 2nd shows a dog winning consistently at D2 and D3 level with three wins from the last six starts. Average performance of 39.2 is the second-highest in the field among dogs with reliable graded form, with a peak of 41 from D2 grade. All-Rounder pace profile with early pace of 50 and bend rating of 51 means he will be prominent from the start without fading — ideal for a 270m sprint where you need to be up with the pace. One trial in the last five is minimal concern and does not contaminate his form. Speed rating of 49 is mid-pack which is the one concern — he is not the fastest here. Trap 2 at D2 grade wins 17.45% which is below average, but the course and distance form and consistent graded wins outweigh the trap position. Trainer win rate of 14% is below average.
DANGER: Raw speed and course and distance form make him genuinely dangerous, but three of five recent races are trials. He could win on sheer ability — the speed is real — but could equally run green and mess up. Maximum role is danger with heavy trial contamination caveats.
DANGER: Clean graded speed of 53 without trial contamination makes him the honest alternative to Adachi Red Devil. The strong trainer (33%) adds a signal. But the trap 4 draw at just 11.06% and low average performance of 27.1 limit his chances. Could place.
The Closer profile with early pace of 29 at a 270m sprint is a pace mismatch that the best trap cannot overcome. Three consecutive 4th-place finishes at D2 despite the inflated average confirms this dog cannot convert at this distance. The best trap helps him place but unlikely to win.
Slowest dog in the field from a poor trap draw. The data doesn't support her at D2 grade. Unlikely to feature.
Consistent placer but the worst trap at Towcester 270m makes winning very unlikely. Ten C&D runs with just 1 win confirms he is an also-ran at this combination. Can be opposed for the win.
Speed is the primary predictor at Towcester 270m with 38.6% win rate at D2 grade. Trap 3 is the best draw at 26.04% from 1,994 runs. Course and distance form is a powerful secondary signal — dogs with 3+ runs and 25%+ win rate are strong picks here.
T1:21.82% T2:17.45% T3:26.04% T4:11.06% T5:13.31% T6:10.32%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.