Star Pelaw Maiden Stayers Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bogger Dewieb 3yN/R 24 | S Atkinson — 19% R241 W46 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 24 | 0 | 72 (1) | 59 (4) | 57 (4) | 62 (3) | 59 (3) | 53 (3) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 73 (1) | 75 (1) | 3 | 10 | - | - | 59 | 41 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Playgirlb 2y 32 | R J Holloway — 20% R286 W58 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 86 (1) | 46 (5) | 58 (5) | 65 (3) | 61 (4) | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 82 (1) | 74 (2) | - | 45 | 8 | 31 | - | 78 | 60 | 2 | 1/2F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Nicothebumblebeed 2y 13 | G Ralton — 18% R11 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 33 | 65 (4) | 60 (6) | 64 (4) | 69 (5) | 62 (5) | 48 (5) | 60 (6) | 93 (1) | 77 (1) | 84 (2) | 21 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 67 | 50 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sunfire Singb 2y 15 | C L Hardy — 18% R230 W41 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 46 (4) | 48 (5) | 73 (1) | 57 (4) | 88 (2) | 64 (2) | 54 (5) | 66 (2) | 65 (2) | 51 (5) | 53 | - | - | - | 60 | 58 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Yawnb 3y 8 | C Ingham — 44% R9 W4 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 68 | 100 (1) | 99 (2) | 67 (6) | 94 (2) | 100 (1) | 57 (2) | 59 (3) | 98 (1) | 100 (1) | 95 (2) | 59 | 66 | 51 | 56 | 89 | 79 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Cream Biscuitd 3y 24 | R Mccarthy — 16% R168 W27 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 13 | 8 | 75 (2) | 67 (2) | 63 (2) | 65 (3) | 58 (3) | 64 (2) | 60 (3) | 63 (3) | 51 (5) | 75 (2) | 44 | 27 | - | - | 65 | 55 | 4 | 25/1 | - | |
The standout runner in this field by a significant margin. Average performance of 89 is 11 points clear of the next best — an enormous gap at OR level. Performance form of 92, 20, 23, 69, 67, 76 across S2, S2, OR, OR, OR, T3 grades. The 92 peak at S2 is elite staying form, and the recent competitive OR runs of 69, 67, 76 show consistent high-class ability. The T3 trial (76) can be set aside, but even without it the form reads 92, 20, 23, 69, 67 — two dips but the peaks are so far above this field that the class override applies emphatically. A Closer (CS 100, EP 0) at 590m where closers thrive and there are two extreme Faders (T2 and T4) who will set the pace and tire. Track suitability of 66 is the best in the field by 50 points. Distance suitability of 56, trap suitability of 59, class suitability of 51 — all comfortably the best. Ingham at 50% trainer win rate is an extraordinary signal — the kind of trainer that places dogs to win. T5 wins 23.33% from 30 runs — solid. Every data point stacks in her favour.
DANGER: Speed 100 and EP 100 mean she leads by lengths, and at a tight track she may hold on. But CS 0 at 590m with zero distance suitability makes fading the most likely outcome.
OPPOSE: Zero distance suitability, zero early pace, no venue form. Closer profile works at 590m in theory but the tight bends and lack of staying experience are deal-breakers.
Two 72 peaks at S2 and OR show ability, but 7% trainer WR, erratic form (17-72 range), and low suitability scores undermine confidence.
OPPOSE: Extreme Fader (CS 0) at 590m with zero suitability and sharply declining form (65, 51, 19, 19, 24, 22). Will lead early and fade completely.
OPPOSE: A3/A4 performer in an OR race with zero distance suitability and speed 13. The T6 draw (25%) helps but the class gap is too wide.
Very even trap bias — no dominant draw. R1 wins 34.44%. Unusually, SR2 beats SR1 (31.25% vs 27.96%), meaning raw speed alone does not decide staying races here.
T1:21.95% T2:21.62% T3:24% T4:21.62% T5:23.33% T6:25%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 590m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bogger Dewie | 0 | 98 | Closer |
2Droopys Playgirl | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Nicothebumblebee | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Sunfire Sing | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Swift Yawn | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Cream Biscuit | 100 | 2 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 590m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (590m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 435m | 450m | 480m | 483m | 500m | 515m | 590m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Droopys Playgirl | — | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | 0.598 | — | — |
| 3 | Nicothebumblebee | 0.623 | 0.607 | — | — | 0.634 | — | — | 0.634 | — |
| 4 | Sunfire Sing | — | — | — | 0.617 | — | — | — | 0.619 | — |
| 5 | Swift Yawn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.622 | 0.628 |
| 6 | Cream Biscuit | — | 0.610 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.