| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hexel Masonb 3y 7 | R Mccarthy — 19% R176 W34 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 67 (3) | 67 (3) | 81 (1) | 60 (4) | 57 (3) | 67 (3) | 60 (4) | 81 (1) | 44 (6) | 45 (5) | 36 | 36 | 21 | 33 | 68 | 56 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Caseys Jaked 4y 16 | S Atkinson — 20% R248 W50 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 55 | 64 (3) | 87 (1) | 72 (4) | 62 (4) | 60 (3) | 70 (3) | 87 (1) | 69 (2) | 85 (1) | 68 (3) | 43 | 39 | 9 | 20 | 61 | 52 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Daring Poppyb 2y 27 | R Mccarthy — 19% R176 W34 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 40 | 38 (6) | 53 (4) | 47 (5) | 41 (6) | 56 (4) | 64 (3) | 54 (3) | 52 (5) | 72 (5) | - | 38 | 31 | - | 32 | 53 | 46 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Caseys Shadrackd 4y 19 | S Atkinson — 20% R248 W50 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 82 (1) | 52 (5) | 61 (3) | 47 (6) | 62 (3) | 37 (6) | 67 (3) | 84 (1) | 68 (4) | 76 (2) | 27 | 30 | 30 | 34 | 62 | 51 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 5 | ▶ Dyno Bluebelleb 2y 28 | G A Foot — 19% R297 W57 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 44 (6) | 56 (4) | 72 (1) | 38 (6) | 44 (6) | 52 (4) | 48 (6) | 80 (1) | 65 (2) | 78 (1) | 33 | 42 | 14 | 40 | 65 | 56 | 3 | 1/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Inclement Magicb 2y 15 | G A Foot — 19% R297 W57 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 50 | 34 (6) | 55 (3) | 47 (6) | 40 (5) | 81 (5) | 58 (1) | 55 (4) | 52 (4) | 46 (4) | - | 51 | 39 | - | 30 | 55 | 50 | 6 | 8/1 | |
Best average performance in the field at 68 by a clear margin. Performance form of 62, 55, 82, 89, 62, 65 — all at A4 and A5 grades. The 89 peak came at A5 grade (1.00x multiplier), which is one grade below today's A4 (1.05x multiplier), meaning he has proven ability very close to this standard. Three of six runs scored above 62, giving consistent high-end production. Closer profile (CS 100, EP 0) is a structural concern at this tight track, but the class override applies here: his average performance of 68 is six points above the field average (approximately 58), and his peak of 89 is in a different league. When a dog is this far ahead of the field on ability, the pace profile becomes a risk factor rather than a dealbreaker. McCarthy at 26% is a moderate trainer signal. The genuine concern is T1 — the worst trap at Star Pelaw 435m A4 at just 12.5% from 48 runs. That is a significant structural disadvantage that would normally be disqualifying. But the performance gap is large enough to overcome it more often than not.
DANGER: Best trap (28.3%) + improving form (recent 72) + McCarthy 26%. Closer profile is a risk at a tight track but the draw overcomes some of that.
OPPOSE: Three consecutive declining performances (30, 27, 20) despite Front Runner profile that should suit this tight track. The dog has lost form.
Competent All-Rounder with second-best avgP (62) but form is primarily A5/A6 level. Place contender without a clear win angle.
Improving trajectory (49-72) and Fader profile suit this tight track, but T5 dead draw (13.24%) and A6-level form make winning unlikely.
Consistent All-Rounder with one 68 peak at A4 showing grade ability. But mid-pack avgP (55), weak trap (16.42%), and weak trainer (14%) limit win prospects.
T3 dominates at 28.3% from 53 runs. T1 is worst at 12.5% from 48 runs — significant for the race favourite. R3 collapses to just 7.02%, meaning upsets from the third-ranked dog are rare.
T1:12.5% T2:16.33% T3:28.3% T4:20.97% T5:13.24% T6:16.42%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hexel Mason | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Caseys Jake | 59 | 47 | Front Runner |
3Daring Poppy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Caseys Shadrack | 49 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Dyno Bluebelle | 59 | 34 | Fader |
6Inclement Magic | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.