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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Monraud Sparkb 5y 36 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 70 | 16 (4) | 20 (3) | 20 (2) | 18 (5) | 21 (3) | 50 (2) | 46 (2) | 38 (4) | 35 (5) | 43 (3) | 35 | 18 | 31 | - | 34 | 31 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Beslo Mama Gooseb 5y 53 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 7 (6) | 14 (5) | 16 (5) | 19 (5) | 56 (4) | 29 (1) | 24 (3) | 24 (3) | 17 (5) | 14 (4) | 35 | 3 | 36 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tickets Katieb 2y 26 | G A Foot — 19% R297 W57 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 41 (3) | 47 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 18 (4) | 33 (5) | 23 (5) | 24 (2) | - | 53 | 26 | - | 30 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 1/2F | |
| 4 | ▶ Tyra Girlb 3y 26 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | - | 8 (5) | 16 (5) | 13 (5) | 14 (5) | 16 (5) | 17 (4) | 23 (2) | 14 (5) | 17 (5) | 40 (4) | 15 | 2 | - | 6 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Never Despairb 3y 28 | R Mccarthy — 19% R176 W34 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 10 (5) | 13 (5) | 10 (5) | 17 (4) | 21 (3) | 19 (4) | 20 (4) | 28 (1) | 18 (4) | 19 (3) | 4 | 36 | - | 33 | 21 | 22 | 3 | 2/1 | |
The only runner with a complete pace profile, which is significant at a sprint distance. Early pace of 60 and bend rating of 70 are both the best in this field — and at 245m, getting to the bend first is the whole race. Speed 50 is mid-range but the EP and bend combination matter more at this trip. Performance form of 38, 34, 43, 45, 14, 40 across D4, D4, A8, A8, A8, A8 grades — four of six runs at A8 level which is three grades higher than today's D4. The 14 at A8 is a bad run against stronger opposition. The D4 form of 38 and 34 is modest but she was competing at A8 for most of her recent career. Track suitability of 18 and trap suitability of 35 are unremarkable. T1 wins only 10.71% from 28 runs — a poor draw. Dibb at 16% trainer. The pick is based on the A8-to-D4 class drop and the best pace profile in the field — she should get to the bend first and hold on at this short trip. The T1 draw is the main risk.
DANGER: Best trap (28.57%) and best speed (60) — the most predictive combination at sprints. Limited form ceiling (peaks at 19) is the only knock.
OPPOSE: Five of six recent performances at 15 or below. The single 41 looks like an outlier. Too limited for this field.
OPPOSE: Worst speed and worst avgP in the field. T4 draw (24.14%) is a positive but cannot compensate for this level of underperformance.
OPPOSE: Dead trap (3.33%) and declining form (last three: 12, 11, 9). Second-best speed cannot overcome the structural trap disadvantage and loss of form.
T3 dominates at 28.57% from 35 runs. T5 is a dead draw at 3.33% from 30 runs. Low-grade sprint where speed and trap matter most.
T1:10.71% T2:17.14% T3:28.57% T4:24.14% T5:3.33% T6:18.52%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 245m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.