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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tia Lilly Dancerb 4y 43 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 30 (6) | 35 (6) | 45 (1) | 31 (4) | 40 (3) | 40 (2) | 38 (3) | 41 (1) | 37 (2) | - | 56 | 60 | 30 | 52 | 61 | 59 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sussex Cosmosb 2y 36 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 36 | 33 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (4) | 49 (2) | 40 (5) | 79 (3) | 57 (4) | 75 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (3) | 38 | 50 | 37 | 33 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hoxton Stard 2y 14 | C L Conley — 17% R53 W9 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 49 | 29 (5) | 22 (6) | 37 (1) | 30 (2) | 32 (2) | 67 (1) | 35 (5) | 43 (5) | 64 (2) | 48 (3) | 27 | 28 | 17 | 15 | 56 | 45 | 4 | 11/10F | |
| 4 | ▶ Tuttyd 2yN/R 34 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 49 (3) | 56 (4) | 60 (4) | 31 (2) | 55 (4) | 63 (1) | 39 (3) | 42 (5) | - | - | 19 | 40 | - | 19 | 62 | 49 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Burgess Boldd 4y 25 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 37 (5) | 49 (3) | 45 (5) | 47 (3) | 40 (5) | 50 (2) | 42 (4) | 55 (3) | 63 (1) | 44 (4) | 31 | 42 | - | 33 | 53 | 47 | 3 | 11/4 | |
Tia Lilly Dancer has the best suitability profile in the field by a wide margin — SM 50 with track 60, distance 52, trap 56 all comfortably field-leading. Speed 53 and bend 53 are both field-best. All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 50) gives tactical flexibility — she can lead or close. Form peaks at 76 and 77 which are the joint-highest in the field, though the 40 and 49 lows show volatility. Her recent races are at Trial level but she won at 253m D1 (higher class than A6) and was 4th at D1. The trap is the concern — T1 wins just 15.2% from 138 runs at Oxford 450m A6, the worst trap. But her personal trap suitability of 56 suggests she handles inside boxes well.
DANGER: Proven A6 form (2nd) with A2 class depth (4th). Strong trap (T2 at 24.0%). Closer profile is the risk but galloping Oxford + moderate pace = viable.
Volatile. Best trap and highest class form (A2 2nd) but A6 record (5th, 3rd, 6th) and form floor (38) make him impossible to trust. High ceiling, no floor.
Minor contender. Best performance (62) and A4/A5 class experience but weak trap and low suitability limit appeal. Steady rather than explosive.
Against despite class drop. Worst performance in the field (53) and poor recent form (42, 43 lows). The class drop helps but the form direction is wrong.
T3 is dominant at Oxford 450m A6 (26.4% from 174 runs), T2 close behind at 24.0% from 154 runs. T1 and T4 are weak at 15.2% and 15.6%. Massive upset frequency — R5 wins 24.2% and R6 wins 30.0%, meaning the lowest-rated dogs win nearly a third of the time.
T1:15.2%(138) T2:24.0%(154) T3:26.4%(174) T4:15.6%(205) T5:20.6%(165) T6:23.9%(88)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tia Lilly Dancer | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Sussex Cosmos | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hoxton Star | 54 | 34 | All-Rounder |
4Tutty | 52 | 51 | All-Rounder |
5Burgess Bold | 46 | 0 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.