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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackheath Ellenb 3y 16 | F Bryce — 30% R44 W13 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 67 (3) | 64 (2) | 62 (2) | 67 (2) | 75 (3) | 69 (2) | 78 (3) | 64 (2) | 73 (5) | 54 (4) | 30 | 35 | 51 | 27 | 62 | 51 | 4 | 6/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Sawpit Sauvignond 4y 44 | D A Hunt — 5% R40 W2 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 45 | 52 (5) | 14 (3) | 17 (4) | 64 (3) | 80 (4) | 72 (1) | 55 (2) | 73 (5) | 65 (2) | - | 43 | 59 | 41 | 59 | 65 | 61 | 1 | 7/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Swift Quickd 1y 24 | K R Hutton — 28% R123 W34 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 45 | 78 (3) | 38 (5) | 62 (4) | 44 (5) | 77 (2) | 37 (6) | - | - | - | - | 25 | 61 | - | 23 | 57 | 50 | 5 | 7/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Dreamin Slayerb 3y 35 | C L Conley — 12% R49 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 51 | 51 (5) | 53 (4) | 51 (5) | 79 (1) | 31 (3) | 21 (6) | 52 (3) | 58 (3) | 39 (6) | 50 (5) | 70 | 77 | 35 | 57 | 62 | 64 | 2 | 10/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Jazzy Vibed 2y 16 | C L Conley — 12% R49 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 54 | 35 (4) | 32 (4) | 35 (3) | 28 (4) | 60 (4) | 60 (4) | 52 (4) | 71 (2) | 45 (6) | 45 (5) | 49 | 48 | 37 | 35 | 59 | 54 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Rossa Cocob 4y 35 | R L Hill — 19% R57 W11 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 53 | 30 (6) | 56 (4) | 50 (4) | 42 (6) | 56 (6) | 56 (5) | 63 (4) | 66 (4) | 61 (5) | 74 (3) | 29 | 25 | - | 21 | 57 | 46 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
Sawpit Sauvignon is the form horse at this CD — an extraordinary three consecutive 2nd-place finishes at 450m Oxford A3, plus a 5th. He's been knocking on the door repeatedly and the question is when, not if, the win comes. Best performance in the field (65), best suitability mean (51) with track 59 and distance 59 both field-leading. Trainer D A Hunt operates at 38% — a strong-tier signal that consistently produces high win rates. The knock is his slow early pace (EP 41, worst in field) meaning he'll always be closing from behind, but on Oxford's galloping track there's room to close. Form includes an 83 peak and a 77, showing he has genuine top-end ability. He won at A4 and has proven he belongs at A3 with those three 2nds.
DANGER: A3 winner with the best suitability profile in the field (SM 60, track 77). The form volatility (39-76 range) is the gamble — if he reproduces a 76 day he wins, if it's a 39 day he's last. High variance, high ceiling.
Minor threat. Best trap and consistent form but lacks the peak performances to win. Place possibility.
Against despite elite trainer. Trial-level form doesn't translate to A3 competitive racing. Speed 41 and worst trap = structural disadvantages too large for even Hutton to overcome.
Place contender. A3-winning form and best single-race peak (83) but erratic lows (42, 43) make her unreliable for the win. The closer who needs everything to align.
Against. Three A3 defeats (4th, 4th, 6th), worst trap, worst suitability (SM 19). Strong trainer but cannot overcome this many structural negatives.
T1 marginally best at 22.2% from 257 runs, T2 close behind at 21.3% from 258 runs — good-sized samples. T3 and T6 are the worst draws at 16.8% and 15.7%. R1 composite rank wins 21.6% which is slightly above average but not dominant — upsets are common at A3.
T1:22.2%(257) T2:21.3%(258) T3:16.8%(274) T4:18.1%(265) T5:20.2%(247) T6:15.7%(172)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blackheath Ellen | 50 | 18 | All-Rounder |
2Sawpit Sauvignon | 41 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Swift Quick | 47 | 62 | Closer |
4Dreamin Slayer | 51 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Jazzy Vibe | 50 | 60 | Closer |
6Rossa Coco | 51 | 39 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.