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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Lillyanneb 2yN/R 14 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 0 | 51 (4) | 68 (1) | 17 (3) | 17 (3) | 54 (5) | 55 (2) | 65 (2) | 75 (6) | 89 (2) | - | 70 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 72 | 64 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Rusticd 4y 34 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 56 (4) | 72 (3) | 49 (1) | 54 (4) | 56 (3) | 45 (3) | 28 (5) | 24 (2) | 66 (5) | - | 23 | 13 | - | 11 | 55 | 41 | 4 | 10/11F | |
| 3 | ▶ Effernogue Peachb 2y 22 | G C Wright — 15% R143 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 24 | 58 (5) | 49 (2) | 14 (4) | 12 (3) | 57 (6) | 57 (5) | 33 (2) | 81 (2) | - | - | 43 | 35 | 18 | 51 | 63 | 56 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Boston Boundd 3y 24 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 57 | 74 (2) | 50 (4) | 46 (6) | 64 (4) | 41 (6) | 95 (1) | 81 (1) | 60 (3) | 57 (3) | 77 (1) | 27 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 60 | 47 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Savana Grandadd 2y 35 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 73 | 50 (3) | 22 (5) | 18 (3) | 43 (5) | 30 (2) | 15 (4) | 22 (1) | 14 (4) | 13 (4) | 61 (4) | 38 | 34 | - | 23 | 65 | 53 | 2 | 7/2 | |
Savana Lillyanne's numbers tower over this field — performance 72 is 7 points clear of the next best, speed 68 is 22 points clear. She has WON at this exact CD (650m Oxford S2) and also ran 2nd — her S2 form reads 1st, 2nd, 6th. The 6th is the blemish but at this level inconsistency is common. Trap suitability 70 at T1 is outstanding and distance suitability 37 is respectable for a dog with proven 650m winning form. The Fader tag at 650m is normally a red flag, but she's already proven she can win at this distance despite that profile — her raw class simply overrides the stamina concern. Form trajectory 64→80→69→80→77→64→63→80→64 shows she regularly hits 80-level efforts. Trainer Nevin at 22% is average but the dog's class does the talking.
DANGER: Perfect pace profile for 650m (Closer CS 100) with proven S2 form (2nd) and best distance suitability (51). Needs Lillyanne to have an off day. The each-way play.
ELIMINATE. Sprint/standard dog attempting 650m for what appears to be the first time. Distance suitability 11, class suitability 0, worst trap (T2 at 5%). She will not stay.
Against despite historical S2-winning form. The form collapse (40 latest) makes him impossible to support. If he reproduces anything close to that 85 peak he wins, but the trajectory says otherwise.
Against. S3 winner stepping up to S2 with no class credentials and low speed (40). The bend 73 gives him a positional advantage but the class gap is significant.
Very small sample (102 runs) so trap stats unreliable. T1 shows 37.5% but from just 8 runs. T2 is terrible at 5.0% from 20 runs. The composite rank data is extraordinary — R4 wins 55.6% meaning lower-ranked dogs upset constantly at S2 staying distance.
T1:37.5%(8) T2:5.0%(20) T3:25.0%(20) T4:18.8%(16) T5:25.0%(28) T6:20.0%(10)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 650m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Lillyanne | 0 | 0 | Fader |
2Savana Rustic | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Effernogue Peach | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Boston Bound | 59 | 54 | Front Runner |
6Savana Grandad | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.