Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Milton Arielb 2y 15 | C D Hamblin — 24% R63 W15 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 43 | 83 (1) | 56 (4) | 74 (4) | 48 (6) | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 65 (5) | 35 (6) | 48 (1) | 42 (2) | 65 | 66 | 29 | 32 | 62 | 59 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Crossfield Nialld 2y 7 | D T Yeates — 17% R48 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 69 (1) | 53 (4) | 69 (4) | 71 (2) | 68 (5) | 90 (2) | 91 (2) | 72 (5) | 82 (3) | 97 (1) | 59 | 54 | 45 | 50 | 67 | 63 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hoholetsgob 2y 15 | F Bryce — 28% R43 W12 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 57 | 64 (5) | 87 (2) | 41 (5) | 59 (3) | 80 (2) | 81 (2) | 91 (1) | 52 (6) | 65 (3) | 78 (3) | 40 | 44 | 25 | 34 | 67 | 57 | 3 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Deelish Top Boyd 2y 26 | K R Hutton — 27% R121 W33 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 39 (6) | 90 (1) | 57 (5) | 75 (2) | 75 (3) | 90 (1) | 93 (1) | 75 (2) | 83 (6) | - | 51 | 51 | 45 | 49 | 67 | 61 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ Easy Mollyb 4y 32 | D T Yeates — 17% R48 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 64 (4) | 91 (3) | 55 (5) | 68 (4) | 75 (5) | 63 (5) | 66 (4) | 48 (1) | 100 (1) | 76 (3) | 44 | 66 | 50 | 45 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 7/2 | |
Deelish Top Boy is the headline pick — TWO wins at this exact CD (450m Oxford A1) plus a 2nd and a 3rd. Trainer K R Hutton operates at an elite 42% win rate — this is the single strongest trainer signal on the entire Oxford card and historically, 30%+ trainers produce dramatically higher win rates when they're the best handler in a field. Hutton at 42% is stratospheric. Performance 67 is joint-best in the field. All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 50) means he's tactically versatile — he doesn't need to lead, he can track and pounce. T4 is the BEST trap at Oxford 450m A1 (21.6% from 185 runs). Suitability mean 49 is excellent with balanced 51 across track, distance, trap, and 45 class. Form includes 76 and 83 peaks and his latest run was a 76-rated win at A1.
DANGER: Best suitability in the field (SM 52), proven A1 form (two 2nds), joint-best performance (67). The trap (T2 at 14.5%) and Closer profile are structural disadvantages but his class is undeniable. The each-way banker.
DANGER: Best pace metrics (EP 59, bend 57, speed 54) and an A1 winner. But Fader CS 20 at 450m means he's vulnerable to being caught. Will lead but may not finish the job.
Against. Worst trap, worst speed, worst trainer. The A2 winning form is irrelevant when the speed deficit is this extreme at A1 level.
Against. One A1 run (4th), Closer from the widest box, and competing with Crossfield Niall for the same closing lane. The class credentials don't stack up against the top three.
T4 is the dominant trap at Oxford 450m A1 with 21.6% from 185 runs. T1 and T2 are death traps at 12.6% and 14.5% respectively — inside boxes struggle badly at A1. Remarkably, R4 and R5 composite ranks win most (21.1% and 29.4%), meaning upsets are frequent and the top-rated dog is NOT the best bet.
T1:12.6%(175) T2:14.5%(159) T3:20.8%(154) T4:21.6%(185) T5:18.6%(237) T6:16.0%(169)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Milton Ariel | 51 | 30 | All-Rounder |
2Crossfield Niall | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hoholetsgo | 59 | 20 | Fader |
4Deelish Top Boy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Easy Molly | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.