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Doncaster 275 Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Miss Tibbsb 3y 26 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 88 | 49 (5) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 53 (5) | 70 (4) | 68 (2) | 57 (5) | 68 (4) | 46 (5) | 68 (3) | 35 | - | - | 50 | 65 | 57 | 3 | 25/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Daltond 4y 35 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 82 | - | 47 (5) | 67 (3) | 72 (3) | 72 (5) | 53 (4) | 90 (1) | 100 (1) | 47 (1) | 44 (2) | 34 (4) | 47 | - | - | - | 73 | 64 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Task Sassyb 2y 22 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 12 | 32 (4) | 36 (3) | 29 (1) | 29 (4) | 67 (3) | 49 (5) | 68 (4) | 26 (1) | 38 (6) | - | 60 | 30 | - | 30 | 64 | 56 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumdoit Gizmod 2y 24 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 0 | 32 (5) | 36 (3) | 95 (2) | 46 (1) | 40 (3) | 42 (1) | 44 (4) | 75 (1) | 75 (1) | 61 (3) | 30 | - | - | - | 63 | 51 | 6 | 7/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Long Battled 2y 17 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 100 | 34 (6) | 42 (2) | 34 (1) | 42 (2) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 30 (1) | 43 (4) | 47 (1) | - | 67 | 43 | - | 78 | 71 | 68 | 2 | 6/5F | |
| 6 | ▶ Rising Apollod 3y 35 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 27 | - | 41 (2) | 57 (1) | 39 (4) | 32 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 16 (3) | 28 (5) | 35 (3) | 29 (5) | 28 | 21 | - | 46 | 64 | 53 | 5 | 33/1 | |
The best raw numbers: AP 73 (field-best), speed 82 (field-best by a massive 30+ points over most). Form is strong and consistent: 80, 74, 57, 68, 79, 79 — mostly 68+ with only one dip. Zero C&D runs is the key concern — no proven form at Doncaster 275m. All suitability scores except trap (47) are 0, confirming the venue switch. TrWR 12% is poor. At sprint distance where raw speed matters most, speed 82 is a significant weapon — but with zero venue knowledge and the worst trainer signal, this requires trust in pure ability over preparation.
DANGER: The strongest alternative — EP 100 from the statistically best trap with proven distance form (suit 78). The 2-point AP gap to Dalton is marginal. If Dalton's zero CD manifests as a poor first run at the venue, Long Battle is ready to capitalise with sprint expertise.
The EP 99 is her weapon at sprint but the declining form and zero venue knowledge limit confidence against this field quality.
A Closer at sprint can be confidently opposed. The data doesn't support a closing run at 275m regardless of ability.
The worst possible profile for a 275m sprint: Closer + dead draw. Can be confidently opposed.
Small OR sample. Two Faders (EP 99-100) are ideal at sprint distance. Dalton has AP 73 + speed 82 but zero CD. Long Battle has AP 71 + EP 100 + distance suit 78.
T1:21.2% T2:31.6% T3:24.3% T4:16.7% T5:34.4% T6:29.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.