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Doncaster 450 Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Sheebab 2y 15 | J Andrews — 20% R247 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 38 | 0 | 81 (3) | 65 (3) | 74 (2) | 61 (3) | 81 (1) | 88 (1) | 68 (2) | 68 (2) | 55 (4) | 80 (1) | 61 | - | - | - | 70 | 67 | 1 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Kates Cookieb 2y 13 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | 75 | 50 | 40 (4) | 60 (1) | 55 (1) | 44 (2) | 45 (6) | 24 (5) | 39 (5) | 34 (6) | 49 (2) | - | 33 | - | - | - | 59 | 50 | 4 | 33/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Keefill Sequoiad 1y 18 | P Milner — 20% R64 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 100 | 60 (4) | 94 (1) | 93 (1) | 86 (1) | 92 (1) | 80 (2) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | 50 | 78 | 15 | 40 | 69 | 64 | 2 | 11/8 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Sandwood Moverd 2y 26 | L J Stephenson — 20% R254 W51 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 100 | 72 (3) | 36 (4) | 71 (2) | 61 (4) | 86 (2) | 54 (5) | 79 (2) | 44 (5) | 65 (2) | 68 (3) | 68 | 27 | - | 40 | 59 | 54 | 3 | 5/6F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Flyhigh Bullyd 2y 34 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | 73 | 44 | 29 (5) | 45 (5) | 72 (1) | 51 (3) | 73 (3) | 78 (2) | 90 (1) | 37 (1) | 30 (2) | 70 (3) | - | - | - | - | 60 | 39 | 5 | 14/1 | ||
Best AP in the field at 70 with the ideal Closer profile (CS 100) at 450m. Form is consistently strong: 74, 78, 74, 67, 61, 75 — four 74+ in six runs with a floor of 61. Drawn T1 which dominates at OR 450m (27.9%). Zero C&D runs and all suitability at 0 or near-0 (except trap suit 61) mean this is a venue switch — the biggest risk factor. TrWR 24% is moderate. Speed 38 and bend 0 mean she'll be well behind through the first bend. But at 450m against a Fader setting the pace, the closing speed should get there. The AP advantage (70 vs field average 64) triggers a class override on the pace concerns.
DANGER: Bend 100 + TrWR 34% is the most compelling alternative case. If the Closers fail to time their runs, her first-bend dominance could survive 450m. The T3 dead draw (11.6%) is the main counter-argument.
Speed without class. AP 59 at OR is insufficient.
Good closing tools but AP 59 at OR level is too low. Place contender.
Best trap but insufficient venue knowledge and class for OR. Frame contender.
Sequoia's bend 100 is the best first-bend rating on the card. T1 at 27.9% gives Sheeba the structural edge. T3 at 11.6% handicaps Sequoia despite the bend dominance.
T1:27.9% T2:21.6% T3:11.6% T4:19.1% T5:22.9% T6:28.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Drumdoit Sheeba | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Kates Cookie | 50 | 29 | All-Rounder |
3Keefill Sequoia | 92 | 0 | Fader |
4Sandwood Mover | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Flyhigh Bully | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.