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Doncaster 275 Standard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballarue Rolod 2y 6 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R321 W58 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | - | 100 (6) | 100 (1) | 89 (1) | 100 (1) | 74 (1) | 100 (5) | 47 (1) | 90 (5) | 38 (2) | - | 31 | 30 | 23 | 40 | 61 | 51 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Colliers Bucholzd 4y 35 | P Prior — 25% R48 W12 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 57 (5) | 87 (3) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 68 (1) | 65 (2) | 70 (1) | 70 (1) | 47 (1) | 81 | 77 | 36 | 81 | 81 | 81 | 1 | 5/6F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Tassie Twirlb 2y 24 | I M Reynolds — 14% R7 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | - | 84 (4) | 83 (3) | 77 (4) | 85 (2) | 76 (3) | 82 (2) | 86 (2) | 94 (1) | 100 (1) | 40 (2) | - | 39 | 45 | 39 | 72 | 60 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Heathmill Nidged 2y 24 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | - | 56 (5) | 89 (1) | 32 (5) | 78 (3) | 89 (1) | 46 (1) | 84 (2) | 36 (3) | 60 (6) | 30 (5) | 52 | - | 18 | 57 | 64 | 61 | 3 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Grovenor Monab 2y 14 | B Heaton — 15% R203 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 75 (4) | 67 (4) | 100 (1) | 80 (2) | 100 (1) | 97 (2) | 100 (1) | 95 (2) | 87 (3) | 86 (3) | 82 | 54 | 51 | 54 | 73 | 70 | 2 | 5/2 | ||
The class act of the entire Doncaster card. AP 81 is extraordinary — 8 points clear of the next best in this field and 20 points above the weakest. TrWR 42% is an exceptional trainer signal — the highest on the card and well into the strong tier that historically produces 43%+ win rates. Two C&D runs, both wins (100%) — small sample but a perfect record. Suitability is outstanding: track 77, distance 81, trap 81 — all elite. Form is breathtaking: 87, 88, 80, 76, 82, 83 — six consecutive 76+ performances with a floor that's higher than most dogs' ceiling. Speed 54 is adequate rather than dominant but at this AP level, the pure class overwhelms any speed deficit. This is the rare runner where every factor points the same way.
DANGER: Best C&D record (50%) and second-best AP make her the only credible threat. But the 8-point AP gap to Bucholz and poor TrWR limit the ceiling.
Will lead early but the AP deficit is too vast. Outclassed at OR.
Elite trainer but outclassed by the pick. The 9-point AP deficit and speed disadvantage make winning unlikely against Bucholz.
Best speed but zero C&D from the dead draw. Outclassed at OR level.
Small OR sample (178 runs). All trap percentages from sub-40 run samples — unreliable. Class is the primary factor at OR level.
T1:21.2% T2:31.6% T3:24.3% T4:16.7% T5:34.4% T6:29.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.