Doncaster 450 Winner of One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keefill Teakd 1yN/R 24 | P Milner — 21% R62 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 50 | 66 (2) | 68 (5) | 94 (1) | 69 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 61 | 66 | 40 | 30 | 71 | 64 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sandwood Gabbyb 2y 15 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 78 (3) | 69 (4) | 93 (1) | 90 (1) | 88 (1) | 86 (1) | 69 (4) | 65 (3) | 69 (4) | 81 (3) | 47 | 54 | 28 | 60 | 69 | 64 | 1 | 1/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Audienced 2y 7 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 56 | 76 (2) | 83 (2) | 93 (1) | 91 (1) | 93 (1) | 94 (1) | 53 (2) | 71 (5) | 80 (1) | 36 (5) | 78 | 39 | - | 51 | 62 | 60 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Miller Spiritd 2y 16 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 39 | 59 (4) | 78 (2) | 67 (4) | 89 (1) | 62 (1) | 61 (1) | 47 (3) | 50 (2) | 47 (3) | 51 (2) | 31 | 44 | 30 | 39 | 67 | 57 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Devistad 3y 28 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 86 (1) | 72 (3) | 56 (2) | 50 (3) | 65 (4) | 65 (3) | 48 (3) | 46 (3) | 52 (2) | 62 (1) | 37 | 45 | - | 49 | 62 | 56 | 4 | 4/1 | |
The best current form in the field: 79, 83 in the last two runs, with AP 71 field-best. TrWR 34% is the strongest trainer signal. CS 100 Closer from T1 which dominates at OR 450m (27.9%). Just 1 C&D run with 1 win (100%) — tiny sample but perfect. Suitability: track 66, trap 61, class 40 — solid venue compatibility. The Closer profile at 450m with two Faders setting a hot pace ahead is the ideal matchup. Speed 44 is the main weakness — below field average — but at 450m the pace collapse ahead should bring the leaders back.
DANGER: The 60% CD record shows she's proven at these conditions despite being a Fader. If the two closers fail to time their runs, her early-pace advantage and venue knowledge could hold. The strongest alternative to the pick.
Best physical tools but worst class and consistency. The speed tells in the closing stages but AP 62 at OR is below the win threshold.
Strong CD and trainer but declining form undermines current confidence. The 44% CD record suggests better days are behind him.
Best trap and improving form but AP deficit means competing for places rather than the win.
Two 30%+ trainers entering Faders (Gabby and Miller) sets a hot pace. Two 34%/16% trainers entering Closers (Teak and Audience) will benefit. Gabby's 60% CD from 5 runs is outstanding but the Fader profile at 450m is the structural concern.
T1:27.9% T2:21.6% T3:11.6% T4:19.1% T5:22.9% T6:28.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keefill Teak | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Sandwood Gabby | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Audience | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Miller Spirit | 79 | 0 | Fader |
6Devista | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.