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Doncaster 450 Standard - Division 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hobo Canyonb 4y 42 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 0 | 17 (5) | 31 (5) | 78 (4) | 100 (1) | 92 (2) | 94 (2) | 31 (3) | 28 (3) | 68 (5) | 46 (5) | 42 | 46 | 39 | - | 72 | 62 | 1 | 14/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Clona Chiefd 2y 27 | D M Verner — 33% R27 W9 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 47 (2) | 89 (1) | 61 (5) | 59 (5) | 71 (2) | 76 (3) | 50 (4) | 61 (4) | 63 (4) | 41 (4) | 44 | 42 | 23 | 43 | 59 | 53 | 4 | 13/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Cockney Charlied 3y 27 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 49 | 46 (5) | 35 (5) | 61 (1) | 40 (5) | 61 (1) | 53 (5) | 62 (2) | 61 (3) | 58 (4) | 47 (4) | 51 | 32 | 23 | 45 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 20/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Keefill Daresb 3y 26 | P Milner — 21% R62 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 49 (5) | 34 (3) | 32 (4) | 63 (1) | 49 (3) | 46 (3) | 72 (3) | 55 (5) | 63 (1) | 36 (6) | 43 | 65 | 46 | 55 | 60 | 58 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Clonoon Ansard 3y 26 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 53 | 64 (2) | 100 (1) | 71 (4) | 53 (6) | 73 (3) | 57 (4) | 100 (1) | 63 (1) | 51 (2) | 61 (1) | 67 | 62 | 54 | 57 | 66 | 65 | 2 | 5/6F | |
The class act with AP 72 and the extraordinary speed rating of 100 — the joint highest of any runner on today's entire card. Form shows genuine elite quality: 85, 78, 80 in the last six alongside dips to 58 and 53 that show inconsistency. A pure Closer (EP 0, CS 100) who'll be dead last through the first bend from T1. Zero C&D runs and distance suit 0 are the key concerns — this may be a distance or venue switch. Track suit 46 is moderate. Against two Faders who'll both tire at 450m, the closing speed of 100 gives him the weapon to get there. The 6-point AP gap above field average triggers the class override on the EP 0 concern.
DANGER: The best CD record (50%) from the best trap (T6 28.8%) with solid suitability. If Canyon fails to close from EP 0, Ansar's front-running speed from T6 could hold. The 86 peak shows the ceiling is very high.
The 41% trainer is the single best trainer signal on today's card, but the AP deficit (13 points), dead T3 draw, and inconsistent form are too much to overcome at OR level.
Speed 36 at OR level means he can never close fast enough to win against quality closers.
Strong trainer placing a front-runner, but the Fader profile at 450m against a speed-100 Closer is a losing structural matchup.
Two Faders (Dares + Ansar) will set the pace and two Closers (Canyon + Charlie) will chase. Ansar has 50% CD from 6 runs. Canyon has speed 100 but zero CD.
T1:27.9% T2:21.6% T3:11.6% T4:19.1% T5:22.9% T6:28.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hobo Canyon | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Clona Chief | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Cockney Charlie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Keefill Dares | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Clonoon Ansar | 68 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.