| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Winehouse Dreamb 4y 34 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 45 (4) | 18 (6) | 27 (6) | 20 (2) | 53 (5) | 22 (2) | 23 (1) | 20 (4) | 39 (6) | - | 34 | 45 | 51 | 28 | 33 | 34 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Triangle Trikarid 2y 15 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 45 (4) | 43 (4) | 20 (2) | 64 (1) | 46 (4) | 48 (4) | 33 (5) | 56 (2) | 23 (4) | 50 (3) | 28 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 45 | 37 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballintine Tend 2y 15 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 30 (5) | 43 (5) | 35 (6) | 37 (4) | 14 (4) | 22 (1) | 55 (2) | 15 (4) | 18 (3) | 11 (5) | 59 | 53 | 45 | 45 | 50 | 52 | 1 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Estefans Tuneb 4y 25 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 21 (1) | 45 (4) | 45 (4) | 58 (2) | 44 (2) | 53 (2) | 46 (4) | 35 (5) | 44 (4) | 13 (5) | 23 | 26 | 23 | 21 | 51 | 39 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Skidrow Strongbod 1y 110 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 71 | 64 (1) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 52 (4) | 17 (6) | 38 (5) | 56 (3) | 26 (2) | 51 (3) | 20 (2) | 54 | 47 | 38 | 38 | 45 | 47 | 3 | 1/1F | |
The best overall package when you combine perf, suitability, pace profile, and trainer. P50 is within 1 point of the leader. Suit mean 50 is the best in the field by a huge margin — trap suit 59 (far ahead), track 53, distance 45 all confirm he handles Harlow 415m from T4 excellently. He's a perfectly balanced All-Rounder (EP50, CS50) meaning he's versatile — can sit handy or close depending on the pace. Ellerker at 24% is the best trainer in the field and awareness-tier. Form of 64→29→51→19→44 is erratic (that's the knock — the 19 and 29 are concerning), but the 64 peak and 51 show genuine class when right. T4 at A7 wins 17.40% — mid-table, not a trap advantage. The pick is driven by the overwhelming suit advantage (SM50 vs SM28 for the next-best) combined with competitive perf and the best trainer. At 415m where course-and-distance experience matters, suit mean 50 is a massive structural edge.
DANGER: Most consistent form (four runs above 50, 64 peak) + best Closer (CS93) from inside draw at 415m. If the pace is strong, he picks up the pieces. Jinks 18% and T2 draw are structural negatives.
T1 rail goes to waste — P33 is 18 points behind the leaders. The 57 flash shows some ability but not enough to threaten the top three.
Best perf but worst suit in the field — the classic raw-ability-vs-conditions dilemma. At 415m where CD experience matters, the suit SM23 is a genuine liability.
Improving form (25→56) and best speed/EP, but CS22 at 415m is the dealbreaker. Will lead through bend 1 and get caught. The pace-setter for others to run down.
T1 leads at 20.81% but the T1 runner (P33) can't exploit it. T6 second at 19.76%. T4 at 17.40% is mid-table but when combined with suit SM50 and Ellerker 24%, the overall package is strong.
T1:20.81% T2:17.14% T3:16.55% T4:17.40% T5:18.13% T6:19.76%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Winehouse Dream | 54 | 75 | Closer |
2Triangle Trikari | 39 | 93 | Closer |
4Ballintine Ten | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Estefans Tune | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Skidrow Strongbo | 72 | 22 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.