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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Messid 2y 35 | D Mullins — 17% R363 W61 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 79 (1) | 62 (2) | 66 (4) | 61 (2) | 63 (2) | 69 (1) | 50 (3) | 59 (3) | 64 (2) | 52 (4) | 39 | 43 | - | 38 | 59 | 50 | 4 | 2/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Ah Wellb 3y 16 | M E Westwood — 14% R250 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 58 (6) | 66 (5) | 79 (3) | 60 (5) | 77 (2) | 64 (1) | 47 (3) | 55 (4) | - | - | 43 | 55 | 42 | 40 | 54 | 50 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tiermana Scottd 2y 47 | D K Hurlock — 19% R918 W173 P504 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 58 (4) | 50 (5) | 64 (3) | 78 (1) | 71 (1) | 61 (1) | 43 (5) | 43 (5) | 50 (4) | 51 (3) | 52 | 38 | 51 | 38 | 54 | 50 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bonville Secretb 2y 27 | M L Locke — 23% R289 W66 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 39 | 49 (5) | 74 (3) | 69 (1) | 48 (2) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | 51 | - | 44 | 47 | 38 | 6 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Young Millieb 3y 36 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 64 | 26 (5) | 36 (4) | 42 (3) | 38 (5) | 36 (6) | 44 (5) | 43 (4) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 55 (1) | 37 | 32 | 23 | 36 | 51 | 44 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Real Gone Loverb 3y 15 | D K Hurlock — 19% R918 W173 P504 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 48 | 83 (3) | 43 (5) | 64 (1) | 51 (4) | 81 (4) | 80 (4) | 58 (2) | 100 (1) | 70 (6) | 100 (1) | 52 | 62 | 46 | 58 | 81 | 70 | 1 | 10/3 | |
Real Gone Lover is the most emphatic selection on the entire Romford card. AvgP 81 in an A6 race where the next best is 59 — a 22-point class advantage that is simply unprecedented at this level. She's operating at A1-A2 standard in an A6 field. Form is consistently elite: 81→80→58→100→71, including a 100 performance that is as high as the rating system goes. Even her 'bad' run of 58 would be competitive in this field. Speed 59 is the best by 6 points. Suitability mean of 54 is the best in the field by a clear margin — track 62, distance 58, trap 52, class 46 — strong across every dimension. D K Hurlock at 22% is reliable and CD form of 2,1 (from just 2 CD runs) includes a WIN at Romford 400m. Yes she's a pure Closer (EP 0, CS 100) at tight Romford, but the class override principle was designed for exactly this scenario. A dog fading from 1st to 1st is one thing — a dog 22 points above the field will close from last to first regardless of track character. The Faders ahead (three with CS 0-17) will collapse, and she'll cruise past with a speed differential that the others simply cannot match.
DANGER: Not a threat to the pick (Real Gone Lover is 22pts clear) but the strongest candidate for 2nd/3rd. Improving form (70 last time), Closer profile that benefits from Fader collapse, good suit mean (45). Best value for place markets.
Steady performer at A6 level with decent CD form (3,3,2) but Fader profile (CS 27) means he'll weaken through the later bends. Competing for 2nd place at best given Real Gone Lover's class dominance.
Strong suitability (mean 45, track 55) and two CD 2nds but CS 17 is extreme Fader at 400m. Will lead early and fade badly through later bends. Likely to be caught by multiple closers.
Complete form collapse (14→20→21 in last three runs) makes this impossible to support. Even the Closer profile and competitive speed can't compensate when the dog isn't running to any useful standard.
EP 70 and bend 64 guarantee the lead through bend 1, and CD form of 1,2,1 proves she can hold on. But CS 0 + declining form (62→52→55→52→46) + Real Gone Lover's 22pt class advantage = she'll fade and be caught. Place contender at best.
Traps 1-4 are evenly matched (19.5-20.5%). T5 and T6 are weaker positions (15.7% and 16.3%). R1, R2, and R3 are very close (20.8%, 19.6%, 18.8%) — A6 is the most competitive grade with frequent upsets. But Real Gone Lover's 22-point advantage makes this a class apart situation. D W Lee at 33.3% from 15 runs is the standout trainer at A6.
T1:20.5%(239) T2:19.5%(323) T3:20.1%(263) T4:19.5%(262) T5:15.7%(242) T6:16.3%(196)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tommys Messi | 59 | 27 | Fader |
2Ah Well | 60 | 17 | Fader |
3Tiermana Scott | 28 | 73 | Closer |
4Bonville Secret | 41 | 76 | Closer |
5Young Millie | 70 | 0 | Fader |
6Real Gone Lover | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.