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WELCOME TO ROMFORD STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sundance Sashab 3y 14 | D K Hurlock — 19% R927 W172 P506 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 48 | 40 | 41 (2) | 29 (6) | 27 (5) | 32 (4) | 42 (3) | 33 (6) | 50 (1) | 36 (3) | 42 (3) | 45 (1) | 47 | 43 | 34 | 43 | 39 | 42 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Smiling Doreb 4y 35 | P D Burr — 19% R252 W47 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 47 | 31 (6) | 40 (5) | 38 (6) | 59 (3) | 44 (4) | 64 (1) | 47 (4) | 35 (6) | 32 (4) | - | 26 | 19 | - | 14 | 44 | 34 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Jet Velocityb 2y 35 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R330 W64 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 42 | 42 (3) | 39 (4) | 32 (5) | 47 (2) | 54 (2) | 54 (2) | 32 (6) | 35 (5) | 53 (1) | 47 (1) | 43 | 51 | 32 | 48 | 43 | 45 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Jeopardy Venusb 3y 15 | P W Young — 19% R1319 W245 P774 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 53 | 56 | 32 (5) | 43 (4) | 42 (3) | 25 (6) | 58 (1) | 53 (1) | 38 (3) | 37 (4) | 42 (4) | 28 (6) | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 37 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Easy Muckerd 3y 14 | D K Hurlock — 19% R927 W172 P506 Trainer form — last 3 months | 81 | 53 | 55 | 45 (5) | 69 (2) | 65 (1) | 60 (2) | 38 (5) | 49 (5) | 50 (5) | 65 (1) | 52 (1) | 38 (2) | 34 | 53 | 25 | 44 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 2/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollywood Pasod 3y 7 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 50 | 51 | 37 (4) | 35 (6) | 32 (5) | 34 (5) | 43 (5) | 33 (3) | 45 (6) | 52 (4) | 52 (2) | - | 31 | 34 | - | 29 | 44 | 38 | 4 | 4/1 | |
Jet Velocity is the standout selection here based on the combination of factors that matter at Romford 400m. Suitability mean of 44 is the best in the field — track 51, distance 48, trap 43, class 32 — showing proven ability in these conditions. As a Closer with CS 81, she'll close strongly, but critically her EP of 45 and bend of 42 means she won't be hopelessly far behind through the first bend. She'll sit 4th or 5th rather than last. K M O'flaherty at 26% is the best trainer in the field — an awareness-tier signal that consistently outperforms at Romford. Speed rating of 55 is the best in the field by a margin. Form is steady: 42→39→32→47→54, with the last two runs (47, 54) showing an improving trend. CD form of 3,4,5 shows consistent involvement at course and distance — never winning but always in the mix. In a race full of extreme Faders who'll weaken through bends 2-4, she's best placed to benefit.
DANGER: Dominant T5 trap (24.4%) + best EP (60) + a CD win = he can't be ignored. The CS 11 is a major red flag at 400m, but the trap advantage is structural. If the pace is only moderate, he might hold on long enough.
Balanced suitability and CD winner but form plateau (33-50 range) and Closer profile at tight Romford limit upside. Honest performer who'll be thereabouts but unlikely to get past the better-rated closers.
Joint-best avgP (44) flattered by finishes elsewhere — suit mean 15 is the lowest in the field. Pure Closer at tight track with poor CD form (6,5,2). The data says she underperforms in these conditions.
Fader profile with CS 28 at 400m is concerning, and CD form of 4,4,6 provides the evidence. She'll be prominent early but the track data says she can't convert that into results here.
Most sustainable Fader in the race (CS 42) with improving form (45→52), but poor suitability (mean 24) and weak CD form (5,3,6) undermine the positives. A place contender at best.
T5 is the dominant trap at A9 (24.4% from 258 runs) — significantly above expected 16.7%. R1 and R2 almost identical (22.0% vs 21.7%) meaning upsets are very common at this grade. Front Runners win 26.1% at A9.
T1:19.2%(214) T2:19.9%(286) T3:20.5%(278) T4:17.8%(281) T5:24.4%(258) T6:17.6%(193)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sundance Sasha | 45 | 58 | Closer |
2Smiling Dore | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Jet Velocity | 45 | 81 | Closer |
4Jeopardy Venus | 56 | 28 | Fader |
5Easy Mucker | 60 | 11 | Fader |
6Hollywood Paso | 55 | 42 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.