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HAPPY BIRTHDAY MAXINE LOCKE
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Reasontobelieved 5y 45 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 37 | 78 (1) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 59 (2) | 74 (1) | 48 (5) | 61 (2) | 42 (5) | 64 (3) | 53 (6) | 54 | 48 | 44 | 48 | 57 | 54 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Black Treacleb 3y 28 | G E Evans — 23% R291 W66 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 55 (3) | 64 (2) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 69 (3) | 23 (6) | 62 (2) | 46 (5) | 47 (5) | 47 (5) | 36 | 34 | 29 | 32 | 55 | 46 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hasty Halleyb 2y 111 | M E Westwood — 14% R250 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 55 (2) | 36 (6) | 37 (6) | 41 (6) | 41 (4) | 64 (6) | 32 (3) | 52 (6) | 41 (5) | - | 39 | 34 | 28 | 34 | 47 | 42 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Stonepark Susieb 2y 29 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R329 W64 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 70 (3) | 81 (3) | 43 (5) | 44 (4) | 48 (5) | 44 (2) | 52 (5) | 54 (3) | 61 (3) | - | 11 | 41 | 26 | 35 | 56 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Micks Boyd 3y 15 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 41 | 57 (3) | 57 (3) | 59 (3) | 68 (3) | 65 (2) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 59 (2) | 36 | 37 | 50 | 36 | 58 | 48 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Da Blue Tigerd 2y 38 | B Doyle — 15% R240 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 43 (6) | 59 (3) | 46 (5) | 59 (4) | 44 (5) | 55 (4) | 66 (2) | 62 (4) | 53 (6) | 70 (2) | 45 | 44 | 45 | 44 | 59 | 52 | 1 | 15/8F | |
Da Blue Tiger gets the selection based on the combination of raw quality, ideal pace profile, and balanced suitability. AvgP 59 is the best in the field. He's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 54, consistency 76) — the ideal pace profile for Romford 400m where sustainable pace wins races. CS 54 is the highest closing speed ratio among the All-Rounders, meaning he holds pace better through the later bends than any of his direct competitors. Suitability mean of 44 is the second-best — track 44, distance 44, trap 45, class 45, a remarkably balanced profile showing he handles every dimension of these conditions. B Doyle at 24% is an awareness-tier trainer. Form shows an improving early trend: 44→55→66→62→53, with the 44→55→66 being a clear upward trajectory before a dip to 62 and 53. The recent decline is a concern but he's been competitive throughout. Speed 53 and bend 51 are competitive. CD form of 5,4,2 includes a 2nd place at course and distance. T6 at A4 wins only 16.5% — the weakest trap — which is the main structural negative.
DANGER: Best suitability (mean 48), CD winner and 2nd place, strong closing speed (77). If she reproduces anything like her 61 performance, the suit advantage makes her a genuine threat. Form volatility (13→61) is the main concern — but on her good days, she's the best-credentialed dog in the field.
High consistency (89) and solid CD form (2,3,4) but the 23 last time is a major red flag in an otherwise steady sequence. All-Rounder profile suits Romford but needs to prove the 23 was a one-off.
Best EP (54) will lead through bend 1 but lowest avgP (47) and poor CD form (6,5,3) mean she can't sustain. Likely to weaken through the later bends and be caught by stronger dogs.
Draws the dominant trap (T4, 27.4%) and has the best trainer (26%), but personal trap suitability of only 11 means she doesn't run well from T4 specifically. The general trap advantage doesn't apply to this individual dog. CD decline (3→4→6) confirms.
Best speed (61) and strong class suit (50) but Closer from T5 at tight Romford. Form plateau (43-66 range) and P W Young at 12% limit appeal. Would be more dangerous at a galloping track.
T4 dominant at A4 (27.4%) but T4 runner Stonepark Susie has trap suit of only 11 — a huge disconnect between the trap's historical advantage and this specific dog's ability from T4. R1 and R2 account for 42.7% of winners. Front Runner win rate 28.6%.
T1:17.6%(256) T2:17.2%(262) T3:17.2%(285) T4:27.4%(281) T5:18.4%(206) T6:16.5%(218)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Reasontobelieve | 42 | 77 | Closer |
2Black Treacle | 51 | 34 | All-Rounder |
3Hasty Halley | 54 | 25 | All-Rounder |
4Stonepark Susie | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Micks Boy | 43 | 73 | Closer |
6Da Blue Tiger | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.