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ROMFORD Wednesday 25th March 2026 PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tip Top Katieb 2y 7 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R329 W64 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 44 (1) | 32 (2) | 58 (1) | 46 (2) | 24 (5) | 31 (4) | 23 (5) | 29 (4) | 44 (1) | 30 (3) | 41 | 42 | 25 | 34 | 38 | 39 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Bonville Miracleb 2y 15 | M L Locke — 23% R292 W66 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 46 | 34 (4) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 24 (5) | 22 (5) | 22 (6) | 27 (6) | - | - | - | 19 | 27 | - | 20 | 35 | 29 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollywood Prettyb 1y 23 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 38 | 36 (4) | 46 (1) | 25 (5) | 25 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 14 | - | 14 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Surely Madb 2y 15 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R329 W64 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 29 (5) | 30 (4) | 30 (5) | 34 (4) | 33 (3) | 28 (4) | 43 (2) | 44 (1) | 32 (5) | 31 (6) | 24 | 33 | - | 28 | 36 | 32 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bonvillesurvivorb 2y 27 | M L Locke — 23% R292 W66 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 64 | 23 (5) | 30 (6) | 30 (5) | 47 (1) | 44 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 21 | 60 | 30 | 37 | 33 | 34 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Notorious Sueb 2y 17 | D W Lee — 20% R231 W46 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 42 (2) | 41 (2) | 30 (5) | 60 (5) | 34 (2) | 27 (5) | 29 (5) | 57 (1) | 35 (2) | 19 (6) | 58 | 49 | 14 | 46 | 40 | 46 | 2 | 11/4F | |
Tip Top Katie's form trajectory tells the story here: 20→22→22→31→35, a clear and sustained improving pattern. She's building from the bottom up, and the most recent 35 is her best in this sequence. As a Fader with CS 41, she's not in the extreme danger zone — the skill warns about CS <20, and 41 is manageable at 400m where a moderate fade doesn't cost as much as at staying distances. EP 56 and bend 52 will get her into the first 2-3 at the first bend, which is the key at Romford. Track suitability of 42 and trap suit of 41 are solid, and crucially she has a CD win (1,5,3 from last three CD runs). K M O'flaherty at 26% is the joint-best trainer WR in the field — an awareness-tier signal. Drawn in T1 which wins 20.2% from 198 runs.
DANGER: Dominant T4 trap (25.6%) + All-Rounder profile is the ideal structural combination at Romford. The concern is stark form decline (44→32→31→34→18), but the trap advantage alone keeps him dangerous. A bounce-back to mid-30s perf could be enough in this weak field.
Form collapse (24→22 in last two) and Closer profile at tight Romford make this a difficult proposition. The CD win exists but recent trajectory argues strongly against.
Outclassed on every metric — lowest avgP (25), lowest suitability (mean 13), weakest form (12→12). Closer profile at tight track compounds the mismatch. Likely to trail throughout.
Classic Romford fool's gold — EP 67 and bend 64 will lead through bend 1 but CS 0 at 400m means progressive fade through bends 2-4. CD form of 5,5,5 is the evidence. Oppose.
Best raw numbers (avgP 40, speed 59, suit 42) but Closer at tight Romford is a structural mismatch. The erratic form (12→22→30→60) adds uncertainty. She can win but needs the pace to collapse — not the primary play.
T4 is the dominant trap at A10 (25.6% from 242 runs) and T5 also overperforms at 24.1%. Speed rank 1 wins at a strong 28.2%. R2 beats R1 (24.2% vs 21.2%) — upsets are common in this grade. Front Runners win 29.5% at this level.
T1:20.2%(198) T2:18.1%(271) T3:17.8%(242) T4:25.6%(242) T5:24.1%(187) T6:17.8%(197)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tip Top Katie | 56 | 41 | Fader |
2Bonville Miracle | 47 | 57 | Closer |
3Hollywood Pretty | 43 | 75 | Closer |
4Surely Mad | 53 | 43 | All-Rounder |
5Bonvillesurvivor | 67 | 0 | Fader |
6Notorious Sue | 0 | 91 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.