Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mahoonagh Finnd 4y 16 | S J Cull — 11% R101 W11 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 39 | 0 | 34 (1) | 29 (3) | 23 (5) | 19 (2) | 40 (6) | 37 (1) | 38 (3) | 40 (6) | 62 (5) | - | 39 | 28 | - | 28 | 38 | 36 | 4 | 16/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Forest Lizb 2y 16 | M T Field — 21% R237 W50 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 0 | 62 | 35 (6) | 25 (4) | 53 (3) | 41 (5) | 34 (6) | 48 (4) | 39 (4) | 56 (2) | 49 (3) | 38 (6) | 25 | 37 | - | - | 42 | 38 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Chiti Khabootrib 4y 13 | S W Deakin — 17% R517 W86 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 51 | - | 24 (5) | 36 (1) | 22 (6) | 25 (4) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 25 (4) | 25 (3) | 20 (5) | 25 (4) | 39 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 25 | 29 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Roseville Ellab 3y 110 | N M Slowley — 15% R100 W15 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 65 (1) | 50 (2) | 37 (5) | 36 (5) | 50 (5) | 27 (3) | 25 (5) | 24 (6) | - | - | 15 | 37 | - | 27 | 24 | 25 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Toberadora Leonab 4y 23 | G B Ballentine — 16% R110 W18 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 52 | 50 | 21 (6) | 26 (3) | 22 (6) | 28 (3) | 35 (1) | 21 (5) | 21 (6) | 26 (6) | 35 (3) | - | 18 | 38 | 34 | 51 | 35 | 35 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Kerrylane Kingd 2y 15 | S W Deakin — 17% R517 W86 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 57 | - | 25 (3) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 27 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (5) | 21 (6) | 23 (5) | 33 (2) | 29 (4) | 33 | 32 | 51 | 36 | 30 | 31 | 3 | 10/11F | |
The pick based on proven CD form and the most balanced profile in the field. Two recent wins at DP 270m D3 — P35 (1st, T6) and P32 (2nd actually, but placed well). Also won twice at trial level. Form trajectory: 26→35→32→23→20→20. The recent form (26, then 35 win) shows improvement after a dip. All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50) is the ideal pace profile for a 270m sprint at a medium track — she'll be in touch early without overcommitting and can sustain through the short distance. Suit mean 35 with distance suit 51 (best in field) confirming 270m is her trip. Trainer Ballentine at 16% is moderate. T5 wins 20% from 110 runs — above average. She lacks the explosive pace of T2 Forest Liz but compensates with proven CD winning form and a sustainable pace profile. In a race full of unknowns (distance switch, trial dogs, inconsistent form), her reliability is the edge.
DANGER: If the distance transition works, EP 79 makes her uncatchable at 270m. But distance suit 0 and no sprint form make this a high-risk proposition. Too dangerous to ignore, too unknown to pick.
DANGER: Best speed rating (57), D3 winner from T6, and elite trainer (Deakin 26%). Recent form dip (21, 25) is a concern but the CD class and raw speed keep him in the mix.
EP 0 at 270m should be disqualifying. Oxford wins create doubt but DP sprint form is consistently poor. Unlikely to feature from T1.
Consistent D3 competitor but a consistent loser. P31 ceiling, dead trap draw (12.5%), and 5th/6th finishes define this runner. Deakin trainer is the only positive.
Declining form and outclassed at D3. The T4 draw is wasted on a dog going the wrong way. Can be opposed.
Very even trap distribution with T1 (16.51%) and T3 (12.5%) the weakest. T2, T4, T5, T6 are all clustered at 20-21%. R2 composite actually outperforms R1 (22.09% vs 20.1%) from 750 runs, suggesting upsets are very common at D3 level. Trainer Deakin hits 20.63% from 63 runs — the high-volume benchmark.
T1:16.51% T2:20.59% T3:12.5% T4:20.8% T5:20% T6:20.15%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.