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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nolas Bigfootd 4y 14 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 23 (4) | 16 (3) | 27 (2) | 36 (4) | 30 (1) | 13 (6) | 25 (2) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 43 (5) | 30 | 41 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 9/4CF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Headford Duchessb 4y 26 | M J Rice — 20% R123 W25 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 17 (5) | 24 (4) | 19 (2) | 20 (3) | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 28 (1) | 23 (1) | 26 (4) | - | 41 | 31 | 38 | 36 | 25 | 30 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Britbull Ethelb 4y 34 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 28 (1) | 25 (2) | 18 (5) | 23 (3) | 24 (2) | 30 (1) | 21 (4) | 19 (5) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 61 | 53 | 27 | 47 | 24 | 38 | 1 | 9/4CF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Yoshib 4y 26 | P B Witchell — 16% R101 W16 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 20 (6) | 29 (4) | 19 (1) | 19 (4) | 13 (4) | 19 (6) | 29 (4) | 14 (1) | 22 (6) | - | 32 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Brentfordforeverd 5y 26 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 48 | 22 (6) | 25 (4) | 15 (2) | 28 (6) | 24 (1) | 28 (3) | 13 (1) | 16 (5) | 31 (6) | - | 29 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 22 | 26 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Old Fort Mickmacd 5y 16 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 30 (1) | 21 (3) | 24 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 12 (6) | 25 (3) | 18 (6) | 23 (2) | 14 (5) | 34 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 3 | 9/4CF | - | |
The suitability standout in this race — SM47 is the best by a wide margin, with trap suit 61 (far ahead of anyone else), track suit 53, and distance suit 47 all confirming she handles Harlow 238m from T3 exceptionally well. This is exactly the kind of dog the D5 evening guidance favours: 'lean on condition data trap bias rather than individual perf ratings.' The T3 sweet spot at 238m wins 19.76%, and with trap suit 61 she has proven form from this specific box. P24 is average but in D5 where form is unreliable, the suitability advantage is the stronger signal. Form of 23→24→30→20→22 includes a 30 peak and is generally flat. Jinks at 20% is awareness-level. The selection is driven by the suit profile + T3 position rather than raw ability — this is a conditions pick.
DANGER: 10-point perf gap is significant but Closer at 238m + distance suit 16 + erratic form (16→43→22→46) prevent a confident pick. The mismatch is structural, not just statistical.
DANGER: T6 bias (23.53%) in D5 sprint makes her dangerous regardless of modest numbers. Joint-best speed adds a small edge.
Declining form ending at 17 from the worst trap. No case to make despite decent suit numbers.
Weakest perf, wildly inconsistent (14→29 swings), no pace data, cold trainer. Not competitive.
Dead draw + worst speed (36) + declining form. Having pace data is meaningless when the speed isn't there.
D5 evening guidance: lean on condition data over perf. T6 dominant at 23.53%. T3 sweet spot at 19.76%. In D5 sprints, suitability and trap bias outweigh marginal perf differences.
T1:17.31% T2:16.65% T3:19.76% T4:18.42% T5:15.68% T6:23.53%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nolas Bigfoot | 0.677 | 0.674 |
| 2 | Headford Duchess | 0.684 | — |
| 3 | Britbull Ethel | 0.681 | — |
| 4 | Yoshi | 0.693 | — |
| 5 | Brentfordforever | 0.690 | 0.687 |
| 6 | Old Fort Mickmac | 0.679 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.