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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Masterstown Renab 6y 26 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 17 (3) | 19 (3) | 20 (3) | 17 (3) | 15 (5) | 13 (4) | 19 (4) | 18 (4) | 15 (5) | 21 (3) | 30 | 28 | 14 | 30 | 20 | 24 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Skidrow Jaked 1y 25 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 18 (2) | 33 (5) | 19 (5) | 42 (4) | 32 (6) | 53 (3) | 14 (3) | 30 (3) | 30 (1) | - | 17 | 37 | - | 17 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Footfield Magpieb 4y 35 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 24 (3) | 19 (3) | 40 (4) | 22 (2) | 14 (5) | 20 (4) | 19 (5) | 21 (2) | 20 (3) | 20 (4) | 37 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 21 | 26 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Allens Giftb 2y 6 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 17 (4) | 18 (5) | 16 (5) | 15 (5) | 14 (5) | 13 (5) | 14 (5) | 12 (6) | 11 (6) | 12 (6) | 53 | 47 | - | 47 | 13 | 30 | 3 | 20/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Double Errillb 2y 35 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 55 (4) | 67 (1) | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 31 (1) | 40 (5) | 63 (1) | 35 (5) | 15 (3) | 19 (3) | 2 | 14 | - | 14 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Baran Maverickd 5y 36 | P B Witchell — 17% R103 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 25 (2) | 23 (3) | 14 (6) | 25 (2) | 19 (4) | 23 (1) | 25 (3) | 19 (2) | 24 (5) | - | 39 | 30 | 25 | 27 | 21 | 27 | 2 | 11/8 | |
A 17-point class gap over a very weak D5 field. P38 vs the next-best P21 is not a race — it's a procession. Form of 25→40→29→51→40 shows an improving trajectory with a 51 peak and recent 40 — even his lower runs (25, 29) are above this field's best. He's a Closer (EP48, CS77) which at 238m is normally wrong, but when you're 17 points ahead, running style is irrelevant. EP48 isn't terrible either — he has enough early pace to stay in touch, and CS77 means he'll be accelerating through the final strides while the others tire. From T2 (16.65% — worst trap), the draw is a headwind, but R1 composite at 22.25% and R1 speed at 25.72% at D5 confirm that the best-rated dog overcomes trap disadvantages at this grade. Ellerker at 24% hits 21.21% at D5 — decent. Suit is the only concern: SM18 with trap 17, distance 17 — very low CD numbers. But class overrides suit at a gap this wide.
DANGER: T6 draw (23.53%) + best speed (56) = the structural play if Jake fails. But needs Jake to have a worse day than his 25 floor, which is still above this field's best.
18 points behind with flat form in the high teens. Not in the same class as the leader.
T3 + EP52 pace data makes her the best of the rest, but 17 points behind Jake is an unbridgeable gap.
P13 with form declining to 10. Not competitive at any level. The suit numbers are relics of better days.
Suit SM8 is the worst in any race today. Dead T5 draw. Form declining to 11. Not a racing proposition here.
R1 composite at 22.25% and R1 speed at 25.72% confirm the best-rated dog has a strong structural edge at D5. T2 is the weakest trap (16.85%) but a 17-point class gap overwhelms any trap bias.
T1:17.31% T2:16.65% T3:19.76% T4:18.42% T5:15.68% T6:23.53%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.