| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Eimearb 4yN/R 23 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 18 (5) | 20 (4) | 31 (5) | 31 (5) | 65 (1) | 48 (3) | 21 (4) | 27 (2) | 20 (4) | 52 (2) | 22 | 34 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 32 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rathbally Annab 2y 27 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R714 W146 P380 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 33 (6) | 48 (6) | 24 (3) | 64 (2) | 45 (1) | 16 (3) | 21 (6) | 18 (1) | - | - | 27 | 39 | 33 | 40 | 26 | 29 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sallins Flyerd 1y 27 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R714 W146 P380 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 37 (5) | 32 (1) | 21 (4) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 21 (5) | 34 (4) | 23 (4) | 50 (2) | 21 (1) | 46 | 37 | 36 | 40 | 22 | 31 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Deacon Bellab 5y 34 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 19 (6) | 22 (5) | 23 (3) | 20 (3) | 23 (4) | 13 (2) | 14 (3) | 21 (6) | - | - | 33 | 40 | 20 | 39 | 21 | 28 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tomahurra Scobbyd 3y 26 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 18 (6) | 27 (2) | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 23 (3) | 21 (2) | 9 (5) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 14 (6) | 29 | 31 | 42 | 34 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kims Diamondb 3y 14 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 17 (5) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 14 (5) | 13 (5) | 23 (6) | 22 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | - | 32 | 30 | 34 | 36 | 23 | 27 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
The class dog at P34 — 8 points clear of the field which is a meaningful gap at D5 level. Her most recent run peaked at 52 (form: 21→26→20→23→52) — that 52 is more than double the field average and shows she's hitting form at the right time. The improving trajectory from 21 through to 52 is very encouraging. She's a Closer (EP49, CS100 — the purest Closer possible) which at 238m sprint is a structural concern. But EP49 isn't zero — she has enough early pace to stay in touch from T1 on the rail. And CS100 means she's accelerating harder than any other dog through the final strides. At 238m, even a Closer with EP49 from T1 rail can be competitive if the class gap is wide enough — and 8 points is wide enough. Jinks at 20% is awareness-level. Suit is modest (SM27 with trap 22 — low for T1) but the recent form explosion overrides suit concerns.
DANGER: Front Runner EP55 at 238m is the right profile + Ellerker 24% best trainer. If the class dog's Closer profile fails at sprint distance, Anna is perfectly positioned to capitalise from the front.
Best suit + T3 sweet spot but outclassed by 12 points. The structural advantages can't bridge that ability gap.
Worst speed in the field + 13 behind the leader. Improving form (18→27) is encouraging but the ceiling is too low.
Best speed from the dead draw without pace data = a theoretical advantage that can't be leveraged. Avoid.
T6 bias would normally make her a danger but the 11-point class gap and the Front Runner in T2 present stronger threats. Third in the pecking order.
R1 composite 22.25% and R1 speed 25.72% confirm the best-rated dog wins well at D5 regardless of trap. T6 dominant at 23.53% but an 8-point class gap favours the pick.
T1:17.31% T2:16.65% T3:19.76% T4:18.42% T5:15.68% T6:23.53%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rathbally Anna | 0.689 | 0.670 |
| 3 | Sallins Flyer | 0.668 | 0.677 |
| 4 | Deacon Bella | 0.687 | — |
| 5 | Tomahurra Scobby | 0.681 | — |
| 6 | Kims Diamond | 0.693 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.