| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skin Faded 2y 19 | I E Walker — 13% R241 W32 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 50 | 52 (5) | 52 (4) | 54 (3) | 82 (1) | 55 (6) | 54 (5) | 81 (1) | 46 (5) | 37 (1) | 37 (1) | 56 | 54 | 23 | 51 | 46 | 49 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Strictly Roseyb 3y 27 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 48 | 40 (6) | 46 (5) | 38 (6) | 60 (4) | 49 (6) | 81 (1) | 48 (4) | 63 (4) | 46 (5) | 71 (2) | 39 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 51 | 45 | 5 | 9/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Roanna Kokod 2y 14 | R Williams — 15% R321 W47 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 63 (4) | 85 (1) | 54 (5) | 83 (6) | 62 (1) | 67 (3) | 58 (3) | 44 (3) | 68 (4) | - | 44 | 66 | 28 | 56 | 63 | 60 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Darbys Harlieb 3y 8 | S A Aveline — 10% R67 W7 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 61 | 60 (4) | 57 (2) | 67 (2) | 46 (5) | 41 (6) | 73 (3) | 42 (5) | 74 (2) | 72 (2) | 48 (5) | 46 | 40 | 37 | 45 | 67 | 59 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Monicab 3y 33 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 22 (6) | 73 (4) | 69 (4) | 75 (2) | 47 (3) | 50 (6) | 56 (4) | 75 (4) | 96 (2) | 73 (3) | 51 | 70 | 34 | 50 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 11/4 | |
The highest perf in the field at P67 with the most extreme early pace (EP 100, bend 61). He will lead this race from the first stride — EP 100 is the absolute maximum and bend 61 ensures he's clear at the first bend. A2/A3 form is outstanding: 74→72→48→73→80→46. At A2 he's been consistently 2nd (74, 72, 80, 73) — these are ELITE performances. The two weak runs (48, 46) at A2 show he's not always at his best, but even his worst at A2 (46) would be competitive at A3. The Fader tag (CS 0, pace consistency 84) is the headline risk — at 480m he WILL fade through the final bends. But the class override applies: his worst A2 run (P46) is better than most dogs' best in this field, and his peak (P80 at A2) is extraordinary. The question is whether the Closers behind him (T3, T5) close fast enough to catch a 10+ length lead. At A3, his class advantage over the field should be enough to hold despite the fade. Suit mean 42 (trap 46, distance 45). Trainer Aveline at 18%. T4 wins 15.38% from 65 runs — below average but irrelevant when EP 100 guarantees the lead regardless of draw.
DANGER: P80 A3 winner with A2-competitive form (67, 68). CS 100 makes her the biggest threat to T4 in the closing stages. But T3 dead draw (10.77%) and EP 0 mean she starts from the worst possible position.
Best suitability (46) but only one poor A3 run (P46, 5th). The P76 A4 win shows class but A3 is a step up he hasn't managed yet. Fader CS 0 at 480m compounds the grade challenge.
Capable of brilliance (P81 A3 win) with strong trainer (Deakin 26%) and good draw (T2 22.06%). But inconsistency (37, 47 mixed with 81) means the peak is unreliable.
Best trap (23.44%), best suit (51), and five consecutive wins — but all at trial level. The P73 at Oxford OR is the only graded indicator. Too unknown for A3 debut. Could be anything from 1st to last.
T5 dominant at 23.44% from 64 runs, T2 at 22.06%. T3 is the dead draw at 10.77%. R1 composite wins 22.5%. At A3, speed rank R4 outperforms R1 — closers with moderate speed but strong finishing beat raw pace.
T1:19.3% T2:22.06% T3:10.77% T4:15.38% T5:23.44% T6:14.29%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skin Fade | 70 | 0 | Fader |
2Strictly Rosey | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Roanna Koko | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Darbys Harlie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Droopys Monica | 39 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.