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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Reel Berettad 4y 25 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | - | 28 (3) | 19 (5) | 25 (3) | 33 (1) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 20 (6) | 16 (6) | 23 (6) | - | 10 | 32 | 33 | 29 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 5/6F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Burkos Bonnieb 3y 7 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 23 (4) | 66 (1) | 63 (1) | 52 (3) | 36 (6) | 42 (3) | 48 (3) | 32 (5) | 29 (6) | 56 (2) | 44 | 27 | - | 25 | 45 | 43 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Breffni Tinab 2y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 25 (2) | 16 (6) | 30 (1) | 16 (5) | 24 (1) | 21 (4) | 16 (6) | 21 (3) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 22 | 19 | 17 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Mapleb 2y 5 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 19 (6) | 30 (1) | 24 (3) | 12 (6) | 63 (1) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 48 (2) | - | - | 47 | 38 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 36 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Cill Dubh Cohald 3y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | - | 20 (5) | 23 (4) | 22 (4) | 22 (5) | 27 (4) | 21 (6) | 79 (4) | 24 (4) | 23 (2) | 37 (1) | 23 | 30 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 25 | 1 | 15/8 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Coillbhui Catchyb 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | - | 24 (4) | 18 (5) | 21 (5) | 29 (1) | 30 (1) | 24 (1) | 19 (5) | 23 (2) | 16 (6) | 14 (6) | 35 | 39 | 10 | 37 | 22 | 24 | 6 | 7/1 | ||
Cill Dubh Cohal is selected on the most reliable combination available in this data-constrained race: best trap at D4 Valley (T5, 22.3% historical win rate) and composite rank 1. Speed of 58 is second-best in the field — only Reel Beretta's 62 exceeds it — and the composite model's top selection provides model alignment. When no runner has early pace or bend data, the decision reduces to the best trap plus the best-ranked dog with competitive speed, which is the T5/rank:1 combination here. Her most recent race was a fourth at D4 on May 21st (P23) — on grade and competitive if not spectacular. The main risks are Reel Beretta's speed advantage from T1 and Burkos Bonnie's class advantage. Both are credible threats, but Cill Dubh Cohal's positioning at the best trap with the model's top call represents the highest-confidence available selection. Tentative reflects the absence of pace profile data for any runner.
Speed R1 at 62 — clear margin over the field. But T1 is the worst trap at D4 Valley (16.0%). No ep or bend data. The speed advantage is large enough to potentially overcome the draw, but the historical penalty for T1 at this venue is well established.
Dominant average performance at 45 (8 points clear of next-best). But speed of only 46 is the third-lowest in the field — damaging at a 260m sprint. No ep or bend data. T2 is below average. Performance rating dominance does not translate directly to 260m sprint outcomes where pace is everything.
Grading up from D5 to D4. Lowest avgP at 22, speed 51, comp rank 5. T3 is the best all-grades trap at Valley 260m (22.2%) which is the one positive. Last run was a D5 second — the grade step is the core concern.
Won D5 last time and is grading up. avgP:37, speed:54, comp rank 3. T4 is catastrophic at D4 Valley (8.2% win rate). The worst possible draw for a dog stepping up from D5 with unproven D4 form.
Weakest speed at 42, lowest comp score (24), rank 6 (last). Most recent P18 fifth place — poor form for D4 standard. No ep or bend data. T6 is a below-average draw at D4 Valley. Outclassed on all metrics.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.