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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bale Out Lucyb 3y 18 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 17 (6) | 31 (1) | 20 (4) | 27 (3) | 39 | 35 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 27 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Most Dapperd 4y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 33 (1) | 26 (6) | 24 (3) | 21 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (3) | 31 (3) | 30 (2) | 20 (2) | - | 22 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Home Grainneb 3y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 20 (4) | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 20 (5) | 23 (3) | 29 (2) | 24 (5) | 25 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 12/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Wilbrook Tommyd 4y 15 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 22 (5) | 34 (1) | 28 (2) | 33 (1) | 23 (4) | 36 (4) | 41 (5) | 28 (2) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 12 | 23 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 29 | 4 | 5/4F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Crokers Wiffend 2y 5 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 24 (4) | 27 (5) | 25 (5) | 25 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (4) | 88 (2) | 38 (1) | 30 (2) | 34 (1) | 31 | 32 | 23 | 31 | 35 | 32 | 2 | 13/8 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Da Gruffalob 3y 16 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 20 (5) | 34 (1) | 16 (4) | 24 (4) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 28 (3) | 23 (6) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 39 | 25 | 2 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
Da Gruffalo is selected primarily on fresh form and composite leadership. He won his most recent race at D4 with a P34 performance score on May 21st — the most recent win in the field — and the composite model places him as the top selection (rank:1) for this race. The key risk is the grade step from D4 to D3: if D3 company proves significantly stronger, the D4 winning form may not be sufficient. Speed of 54 is competitive, drawing T6 which is a reasonable position at Valley 260m. No early pace or bend data is available. Against him, Crokers Wiffen holds superior raw physical metrics — better avgP (35 vs 26) and better speed (55 vs 54) — and was already competing at D3 last time. The selection is essentially a fresh form call versus a superior but slightly staler physical profile. Da Gruffalo's composite leadership provides the tiebreaker. Tentative confidence reflects the grade step uncertainty and the strength of the danger's underlying metrics.
Best average performance at 35 and best speed at 55 (R1). Comp rank 2. T5 is the second-best trap available. No ep or bend data but physical metrics dominate the field. The primary challenger to the selection on raw performance grounds.
T1 is a below-average draw at Valley 260m. Speed 49 and avgP 27 are mid-to-lower field. No ep or bend data. Most recent run fourth at D3 with P27. Limited evidence for improvement.
Last run was D4 grading up. Speed 50, avgP 25 (lowest in field). Comp rank 5. T2 is below average at D4 Valley. No ep or bend data. Weakest performance average with a grade step — against on form.
T3 is the best all-grades trap at Valley 260m (22.2%). However avgP 24 is the second-worst, speed 44 is the lowest in the field, and composite rank is last at 6. The draw advantage is entirely negated by the poorest physical metrics.
Fader profile with avgP 30, speed 54, won D4 last time. But T4 is catastrophic at Valley 260m all-grades (8.2% win rate) — the worst trap in the race. Fader early pace can partially overcome bad draws but the historical data is severely negative for T4 here.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.