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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Kurod 3y 4 | D S Davy — 22% R404 W88 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | 34 | 37 | 26 (5) | 30 (4) | 37 (1) | 19 (6) | 31 (3) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 29 (2) | 53 (3) | 48 (5) | 31 | 33 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 31 | 5 | 12/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Cathals Rockd 4y 13 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 49 | 31 (2) | 38 (1) | 36 (3) | 35 (3) | 61 (2) | 33 (3) | 64 (2) | 19 (1) | 32 (4) | - | 42 | 37 | 15 | 28 | 40 | 40 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Burkos Delaneyd 2y 7 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 55 | 43 (1) | 34 (2) | 29 (4) | 66 (4) | 23 (5) | 93 (1) | 31 (4) | 34 (3) | 44 (5) | 76 (1) | 41 | 39 | 26 | 35 | 45 | 44 | 4 | 9/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Rollerballb 4y 18 | D S Davy — 22% R404 W88 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 61 | 38 (2) | 39 (1) | 34 (2) | 31 (3) | 22 (2) | 23 (6) | 34 (3) | 34 (3) | 52 (5) | 54 (4) | 49 | 50 | 23 | 44 | 35 | 40 | 1 | 11/10F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Glengar Islab 2y 36 | S W L Chappell — 20% R35 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 46 | 53 (5) | 74 (2) | 79 (1) | 79 (3) | 13 (5) | 40 (2) | 34 (2) | 57 (4) | 51 (6) | 79 (1) | 56 | 56 | 31 | 48 | 58 | 42 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
Burkos Delaney is the pick on a convergence of the most important factors for Valley 260m: he is a Front Runner — a profile explicitly suited to this track's characteristics — drawing T3, which is the best performing trap at Valley 260m all-grades with a 22.2% win rate. He won his most recent D2 race (P43) on May 17th, confirming he is competitive at exactly this grade and in winning form. His early pace rating of 60 is the second-highest among the non-Closer runners, and bend rating of 55 confirms he gets to the first bend in a competitive position. Average performance of 45 is the highest among the eligible selection pool. The combination of correct profile, best eligible trap, and recent same-grade winning form is the strongest available case in this five-runner field. The one risk is Rollerball (T5, Fader, ep:69, bend:61, rank:1) who holds even better pace figures but is ranked only as danger because the Front Runner profile at T3 provides more consistent first-bend results than Fader at T5 in the available data.
Fader with the best ep (69) and bend (61) in the race. Composite rank 1. T5 is a decent draw. The highest pace figures give him a genuine first-bend advantage case. Main threat to the pick — if his ep:69 generates a cleaner break than the Front Runner from T3, he takes this.
Closer profile — excluded from selection consideration per Valley 260m protocol. avgP:31, ep:28, bend:37, speed:34 (lowest in field). T1 is also a below-average draw. Most recent fifth at D2 with P26. Against on profile and metrics.
All-Rounder at T2. avgP:40, ep:50, bend:49, speed:49, rank:2. Won D3 last time — stepping down in grade to D2 which should suit. Competitive physical profile but T2 is below average at Valley 260m and metrics trail the danger runner (ep and bend both lower).
Closer profile — excluded from selection consideration per Valley 260m protocol. Despite this, avgP:58 (best in the field by 13 points) and ran A4 most recently — stepping down sharply in grade. The physical quality is dominant but the profile exclusion is absolute at Valley 260m.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.