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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Belfast Bornb 2y 7 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 33 (1) | 22 (5) | 32 (3) | 18 (1) | 18 (6) | 24 (5) | 31 (3) | 63 (1) | 29 (1) | - | - | 28 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Tobergal Suzanneb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 25 (3) | 24 (4) | 22 (3) | 30 (1) | 22 (2) | 22 (4) | 64 (1) | 39 (5) | 60 (2) | 25 (2) | 39 | 29 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ To Brightb 3y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 30 (1) | 25 (3) | 21 (3) | 61 (2) | 21 (4) | 17 (4) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 16 (6) | - | 42 | 19 | 3 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Proceccob 3y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | - | 19 (5) | 24 (2) | 17 (5) | 29 (6) | 65 (1) | 38 (1) | 10 (4) | 21 (6) | 19 (4) | - | 16 | 31 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 6 | 25/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Poker Acesb 3y 6 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 16 (6) | 27 (2) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 28 (2) | 20 (6) | 19 (5) | 32 (5) | 23 (1) | - | 40 | 22 | 17 | 37 | 25 | 29 | 2 | 2/5F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hawkfield Sunamib 2y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | - | 29 (2) | 22 (5) | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 24 (2) | 27 (2) | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 24 (2) | 21 (3) | 39 | 32 | 20 | 35 | 25 | 29 | 1 | 4/6 | ||
Hawkfield Sunami is selected on the strongest available metric in a race where no dog has produced reliable pace profile data: the field's best speed figure at 59 and the composite model's top selection (rank:1). When early pace and bend data are unavailable, speed rating becomes the primary lens — and at Valley 260m, speed R1 carries a 25.2% historical win rate, the most reliable single-factor predictor available. Her most recent race was a P29 second place at D4 on May 20th, confirming she is in competitive form and running well at this grade. The draw at T6 is below average for D4 Valley, which is the main counter-argument. Without pace data we cannot know whether she breaks fast enough to overcome any positional disadvantage. Poker Aces at T5 (best trap, speed rank 2) is the live danger. However, the speed margin of 59 vs 54 is the clearest quantifiable edge in this race and forms the basis for selection. Tentative confidence acknowledges the lack of pace profiles for any runner in this field.
T5 is the best trap at D4 Valley (22.3%). Speed 54 is second-best in field, comp rank 2. No ep or bend data but the draw advantage is significant at a track where trap position strongly predicts outcome. The primary threat to the selection — speed slightly inferior but significantly better draw.
T1 is the worst draw at D4 Valley (16.0%). Speed 44 is near the bottom of the field and average performance 27 is limited. No ep or bend data. Most recent run a fifth with P22. Worst trap combined with weak speed makes this a difficult winning case.
Best average performance at 30, speed 50, comp rank 4. T2 is below average at D4 Valley. No ep or bend data. The performance margin is slim in this field and no profile data supports early pace advantage.
Won D5 last time stepping up to D4 company. T3 is historically the best all-grades trap at Valley 260m (22.2%). Speed 49 and avgP 27 are limited for D4. No ep or bend data. Grade step is the key unknown.
Worst speed in the field at 40 and composite rank 6 (last). T4 is catastrophic at D4 Valley (8.2% win rate). Most recent P19 fifth place. No ep or bend data. Against on all available metrics.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.