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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Comer Samantab 3y 16 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 59 (1) | 39 (4) | 34 (5) | 54 (2) | 43 (3) | 47 (3) | 35 (6) | 31 (6) | 20 (6) | - | 11 | 19 | - | 22 | 43 | 34 | 3 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Crokers Gloriab 4y 16 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 46 (2) | 35 (5) | 33 (6) | 51 (2) | 39 (5) | 29 (6) | 38 (5) | 22 (2) | 15 (6) | 22 (4) | 37 | 28 | - | 24 | 36 | 36 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Flomur Smokieb 3y 34 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | - | 36 (5) | 35 (4) | 41 (4) | 34 (5) | 23 (6) | 23 (5) | 46 (3) | 43 (4) | 42 (4) | 34 (5) | 24 | 20 | - | 3 | 35 | 14 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Lady Smithb 4y 45 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 35 (4) | 34 (4) | 33 (4) | 16 (6) | 21 (6) | 12 (4) | 16 (5) | 17 (6) | 22 (5) | - | 26 | 12 | - | 6 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 14/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Mid West Daisyb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 63 | - | 42 (4) | 51 (2) | 16 (6) | 11 (6) | 15 (5) | 22 (3) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 24 (2) | 23 (2) | 26 | 28 | - | 21 | 28 | 28 | 1 | 2/5F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hawkfield Zippyb 2y 16 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 40 (3) | 25 (6) | 38 (5) | 32 (5) | 49 (3) | 50 (3) | 34 (5) | 39 (4) | 48 (2) | 48 (2) | 22 | 22 | - | 12 | 38 | 31 | 4 | 14/1 | ||
Comer Samanta is selected on the strongest form argument available: average performance of 43 is 5 points clear of the next-best rival, and her most recent race was a P59 win at D6 260m on May 20th — the best recent performance score in this field and at precisely this grade and distance. When no runner has early pace or bend data, the fall-back hierarchy runs: performance rating, then recent form, then speed, then trap. She leads on both performance and recent winning form, with speed of 54 that is competitive at D6 level. The primary risk is T1 — the worst performing draw at Valley 260m with a 16.0% historical win rate. Without ep or bend data we cannot know whether she breaks quickly enough to overcome the positional disadvantage. The grade-specific D6 data places T4 as the best draw (23.9%), but Lady Smith at T4 has April form and low avgP — the draw advantage is wasted. Mid West Daisy from T5 with speed:63 is the main danger. Tentative confidence reflects the T1 draw concern in a field without pace profiles.
Speed R1 at 63 (highest in the field) and composite rank 1. T5 is a decent draw. avgP:28 is lower than the pick. Most recently fourth at D6 — competitive without converting. Speed leadership is the primary danger case when no pace profiles exist.
avgP:36, speed:52, comp rank 2. Second in field at D6 last time (P46). T2 is below average at Valley 260m. No ep or bend data. Competitive at grade without being exceptional — likely to contest minor positions.
Last ran April — stale form. avgP:35, speed:42 (second-lowest), comp score only 14 (second-worst) and rank 6 (last). Despite T3 being the best all-grades trap at Valley 260m, the stale form and weak metrics eliminate her as a serious contender.
T4 is the best draw at D6 Valley (23.9% grade-specific). But avgP:26 is the lowest in the field, composite score only 4 (near zero), last ran April. The grade-specific draw advantage cannot be exploited by the weakest physical runner in the field.
avgP:38, speed:47, comp rank 4, no ep or bend data. Most recently third at D6 (P40). T6 is below average. Physical metrics are mid-field without standing out. Likely to run a consistent D6 race without troubling the principals.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.