| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ My Mate Ronnied 3y 15 | D D Knight — 18% R236 W42 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 50 | 85 (1) | 64 (2) | 74 (3) | 74 (2) | 67 (4) | 81 (2) | 88 (1) | 57 (4) | 75 (2) | 68 (4) | 54 | 68 | 27 | 66 | 75 | 71 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Lets Go Harryd 3y 13 | J T Kingsley — 14% R160 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 68 (6) | 72 (6) | 70 (3) | 66 (2) | 60 (2) | 81 (4) | 89 (4) | - | - | - | 60 | 57 | 53 | 54 | 69 | 65 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Soul Nomadd 2y 16 | P Marchant — 13% R8 W1 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 90 (1) | 73 (3) | 73 (2) | 59 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 54 | 51 | 14 | 44 | 69 | 62 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Bonoandutood 3y 15 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 87 (1) | 64 (3) | 60 (6) | 73 (3) | 69 (6) | 73 (3) | 65 (4) | 68 (4) | 59 (5) | 77 (3) | 44 | 40 | 25 | 37 | 70 | 60 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Timeless Timesd 3y 5 | J T Kingsley — 14% R160 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 61 | 52 (5) | 59 (5) | 63 (2) | 73 (3) | 73 (5) | 90 (2) | 64 (3) | 50 (5) | 67 (3) | 66 (4) | 20 | 46 | 11 | 33 | 67 | 55 | 5 | 9/2 | |
Lets Go Harry represents the emerging tactical edge in this race, combining speed-rank alignment (52 bend, 50 field speed marker) with a T2 trap positioning that historically commands 21.63% at Hove 500m A1—a respectable secondary tier advantage behind T1. His 100% closer strength indicator paired with moderate form volatility (66→60→81→89→69) positions him as a late-stage threat capable of passing tired leaders through the bumpy closing stages where collision exposure peaks. J T Kingsley's 12% A1 Hove baseline is modest compared to peers, yet Harry's recent placement sequence (4th→4th→2nd in A1 Hove outings) shows progressive tightening in critical races, suggesting improved racecraft. Suitability profile is balanced (track 57, trap 60), and his speed component—second only to Bonoandutoo's 53 in the field—provides genuine runway mobility for passing moves. The prediction snapshot ranked him first, reflecting his pace-speed and closer mechanics fitting a bumpy Hove test.
Trainer form (Knight 31.82% A1 Hove) combined with back-to-back recent wins at this track and level, plus his high consistency, make Ronnie structurally the strongest single-factor contender. However, the class movement weakness (28) and form volatility create openings for more fluid racers.
Soul Nomad's recent form collapse (59→19→20) is the dominant signal here, despite reasonable structural trap support. The weak class movement (14) and poor class suitability (14) indicate he's struggling to adjust to A1 caliber racing. Recent deterioration outweighs trap positioning advantage.
Bonoandutoo's speed advantage (53 bend) is offset by poor track and distance suitability (40, 37), creating a structural penalty at Hove 500m. Form volatility (59→77→63) indicates inconsistent execution. Trap 4 liability combined with poor venue fit limits competitive appeal.
Timeless Times faces compounding structural penalties: T5 trap is the lowest at Hove 500m A1, with additional weak suitability (20). Class mismatch (11 CS) and distance friction (33) mount the case against. While closer mechanics could activate late, positional deficit is too steep to overcome against a competitive A1 field.
Normal separation (14.6pp gap R1-R3) indicates a predictable tier, yet recent form volatility in the field suggests trap positioning and stride consistency trump pure rating spreads at this speed level.
T1: 26.22% | T2: 21.63% | T3: 19.83% | T4: 18.10% | T5: 17.50% | T6: 24.03%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1My Mate Ronnie | 52 | 28 | All-Rounder |
2Lets Go Harry | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Soul Nomad | 54 | 29 | All-Rounder |
4Bonoandutoo | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Timeless Times | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.