| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Chantalab 3y 7 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 41 | 45 (5) | 53 (2) | 40 (2) | 52 (3) | 38 (1) | 38 (3) | 35 (5) | 48 (6) | 67 (3) | - | 41 | 35 | 16 | 33 | 48 | 44 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Yah Yahd 2y 22 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 42 | 65 (5) | 36 (5) | 38 (4) | 51 (2) | 42 (5) | 52 (6) | 46 (1) | 45 (3) | 53 (3) | - | 24 | 30 | 11 | 23 | 47 | 40 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rattytattyb 4y 46 | M J Richards — 16% R166 W27 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 52 | 29 (5) | 36 (5) | 42 (5) | 45 (3) | 45 (5) | 63 (4) | 27 (1) | 39 (6) | 66 (5) | - | 53 | 32 | - | 40 | 44 | 43 | 2 | 9/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Beanos Andyd 3y 24 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 57 | 43 (3) | 32 (5) | 42 (3) | 35 (5) | 40 (4) | 52 (2) | 37 (4) | 47 (4) | 41 (5) | 40 (4) | 23 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 33 | 30 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Tintreach Flob 3y 25 | P M Donovan — 18% R130 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 52 | 39 0 | 30 (5) | 40 (6) | 54 (5) | 38 (2) | 33 (5) | 58 (5) | 39 (1) | 47 (5) | - | 19 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 49 | 37 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Miss Swiftb 2y 19 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 52 (3) | 40 (6) | 51 (3) | 42 (4) | 54 (2) | 61 (3) | 43 (5) | 44 (5) | 51 (3) | 63 (1) | 28 | 39 | - | 27 | 45 | 40 | 3 | 5/2 | |
Chantala emerges as the prediction-snapshot pick with a 44 composite score and 100% closer strength profile, positioning her to exploit the fair Hove 500m bend and bumpy closing stages where tired leaders create passing lanes. Her T1 trap position (23.84% at Hove 500m A7) offers a marginal structural advantage in the relatively even trap distribution, though the edge is modest compared to other venues. Recent form 52→47→57→46→51 shows consistent mid-to-upper 40s and 50s range with peaks touching 57, and her 1st at A8 Hove (one grade easier) demonstrates proven capability at bumpy-track 500m distances. Speed rating 55 is solid, and her 37 EP indicator combined with 100% CS (closer) suggests she accelerates into mid-race pace effectively before launching closing attacks. Trainer Heath's 22% A7 baseline is respectable. The prediction-snapshot first-ranking reflects the closer profile's alignment with bumpy-track closing dynamics. However, the relatively even trap distribution and inverted R1-R3 dynamics mean execution consistency matters more than single-factor dominance; Chantala must translate closer mechanics into actual racecraft.
Rattytatty's recent form peak (56, one race back) combined with all-rounder profile (48 CS, balanced) creates genuine competitive positioning against Chantala's closer dominance. While T3 trap position is structurally weaker (17.87%), the inverted-ranking dynamics and tight composite scores (43 vs 44) mean execution pathways diverge meaningfully. His all-rounder mechanics and recent form surge make him a credible danger.
Miss Swift's recent form surge (30→60) represents the field's single highest performance marker, coupled with T6 trap support (21.85%) and balanced all-rounder profile (52 EP, 52 CS). While her form history (14-30 lows) creates sustainability uncertainty, the convergent T6 advantage, recent peak, and all-rounder mechanics position her as a genuine danger. Her recent trial win at 285m suggests form confidence extending to 500m. She is the alternative winner if form sustainability holds.
Yah Yah's hybrid profile (41 EP, 97% closer) offers multi-route execution potential, yet his mid-field rating (47), modest trap position (20.17%), and form recovery pattern (53→39→42→47) limit primary-pick appeal. The T2 trap support is helpful but not dominant. Supporting contender but not primary threat.
Beanos Andy's recent form collapse (21-20 dips) combined with T4 trap liability (17.65%), fader profile without closing strength, weak distance/class suitability (24, 23), and lowest trainer baseline (16%) create compounding concerns. While fader mechanics could activate early, overall framework suggests limited competitive equity. Form deterioration is the decisive signal.
Tintreach Flo's pure fader profile (97 EP, 0 CS) positions him as an early-pace threat, yet his 0 closer strength, severe suitability friction (11 track, 11 distance), and recent form collapse (12-12 dips) create barriers. While pace-setting capability exists, closing deficiency and weak Hove-specific fit limit winning appeal. Recent form deterioration reinforces concern.
Inverted ranking and tight trap spread create unpredictability. Nominal ratings unreliable. Recent form trajectory, closer/fader mechanics, and execution consistency become predictive. Multiple route pathways to victory.
T1: 23.84% | T2: 20.17% | T3: 17.87% | T4: 17.65% | T5: 19.26% | T6: 21.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Chantala | 37 | 100 | Closer |
2Yah Yah | 41 | 97 | Closer |
3Rattytatty | 48 | 48 | All-Rounder |
4Beanos Andy | 55 | 34 | Fader |
5Tintreach Flo | 97 | 0 | Fader |
6Miss Swift | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.