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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burrows Dilemmad 2y 7 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 65 (3) | 77 (1) | 48 (4) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 81 | 91 | - | 71 | 56 | 65 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Isabellas Bulletb 2y 33 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 46 (5) | 57 (4) | 33 (2) | 54 (5) | 32 (3) | 36 (1) | 73 (3) | 48 (5) | 55 (4) | 43 (5) | 16 | 56 | - | 26 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Front Loadedd 4y 45 | J T Kingsley — 14% R160 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 52 (4) | 44 (4) | 80 (1) | 56 (4) | 77 (1) | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 68 (1) | 52 (3) | 55 (3) | 45 | 51 | 39 | 38 | 62 | 56 | 4 | 11/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Waste House Tond 1y 4 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 63 (4) | 76 (3) | 61 (1) | 52 (3) | 57 (4) | 71 (4) | 51 (1) | 53 (3) | 63 (4) | - | 49 | 39 | - | 39 | 56 | 51 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Imonlytwinkb 3y 17 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 61 | 69 (3) | 54 (5) | 51 (6) | 84 (1) | 84 (1) | 77 (1) | 66 (2) | 66 (2) | 66 (2) | 68 (3) | 42 | 35 | 40 | 38 | 63 | 54 | 2 | 7/4F | |
Burrows Dilemma carries exceptional suitability credentials across all key dimensions: Hove track suitability (91) is the highest in the field, distance suitability (71) ranks second, and trap suitability (81) indicates strong T1 form. The average performance baseline (56) combined with Class Consistency (91) confirms a dog with proven A3 capability that translates effectively across Hove's conditions. Recent form (56→22→22→24→24) reflects recent trial racing where performance metrics naturally compress (trials don't generate full performance scores), but the 56-point baseline shows the dog's true A3 level. Trainer J J Heath's 22% strike rate is solid. The primary concern is T1 positional advantage at only 17.65%, the weakest trap in the field—yet the exceptional suitability profile (91 track, 81 trap) more than compensates. The pick is based on structural suitability advantage and recent trial success indicating form peak.
Five consecutive A3 Hove placings (2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th) create exceptional form record at this conditions set. Fader profile and consistent early pace suggest tactical reliability. Risk: class consistency (0) indicates vulnerability if field composition changes. Trap suitability (42) adequate.
T4 trap advantage is structural and powerful. Speed rating (59) highest in field supports tactical conversion. Recent 71-point peak shows capability. Risk: form curve (71→24→51→53→64) shows volatility suggesting inconsistent condition. Distance suitability (39) only adequate.
T2 positional advantage adequate. Fader profile and zero class consistency create vulnerability at A3 compression. Form volatility (57→22→33→54→32) suggests unreliable condition. Distance suitability (26) weak constraint.
Highest average performance (62) offset by weak trainer strike rate (12%) and form decline (80→44 curve). Recent 44 finish suggests current form beneath baseline. All-rounder profile (80% consistency) offers tactical flexibility, but declining form and trainer limitation create downside risk.
T4 trap advantage pronounced but not overwhelming. R1 vs R3 separation (4.4pp) indicates moderate compression. High-quality field with several runners showing strong Hove A3 track record. Suitability metrics become critical for competitive differentiation.
T1:17.65% T2:22.62% T3:23.26% T4:DOMINANT_24.02% T5:DEAD_13.08% T6:20.21%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Burrows Dilemma | 42 | 91 | Closer |
2Isabellas Bullet | 75 | 0 | Fader |
3Front Loaded | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Waste House Ton | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Imonlytwink | 70 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.