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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bluey Hillsd 4y 16 | D J Page — 22% R83 W18 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 52 | 28 (3) | 52 (2) | 44 (5) | 51 (3) | 48 (3) | 51 (3) | 44 (5) | 54 (2) | 35 (6) | 70 (5) | 33 | 29 | 13 | 26 | 45 | 40 | 6 | 10/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Bloos Boy Kerryd 4y 13 | J B Thompson — 18% R494 W90 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 48 | 49 (3) | 55 (3) | 51 (3) | 61 (2) | 62 (2) | 64 (2) | 29 (2) | 68 (1) | 58 (2) | 27 (3) | 24 | 39 | 26 | 29 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Aero Ospreyb 3y 38 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 45 | 49 (5) | 65 (5) | 60 (6) | 52 (3) | 42 (4) | 44 (6) | 68 (4) | 63 (4) | 61 (3) | - | 26 | 27 | - | 9 | 55 | 49 | 1 | 3/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Nibbleb 1y 16 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R576 W107 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 54 | 57 (2) | 48 (3) | 37 (6) | 24 (5) | 21 (6) | 26 (3) | 50 (3) | 50 (4) | 48 (4) | - | 1 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 45 | 4 | 13/8F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Aero Dignityb 3y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 38 | 41 (4) | 54 (2) | 53 (2) | 26 (3) | 23 (4) | 21 (5) | 100 (1) | 78 (5) | 95 (2) | 52 (4) | 23 | 35 | 26 | 28 | 49 | 46 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Ellab 2y 8 | P J Doocey — 20% R132 W26 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 63 | 46 (5) | 48 (5) | 53 (4) | 37 (6) | 57 (2) | 42 (4) | 58 (2) | 50 (4) | 50 (5) | 72 (1) | 27 | 31 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
Heads the h3 combined model at 52.8 — a narrow lead in a race where all six scores are compressed within 10 points. Carries the best average performance figure in the field at 55 and the top speed rank of 54, both meaningful advantages at a grade where speed is more predictive than composite. A Closer with EP0, she relies on pace ahead of her to deploy her finishing run over the second half of the 480m trip. The recent form P49→P65→P60 shows useful range — the P65 run was encouraging — though last time returned just P49 at A6 480m. Trainer R Taberner at 24% is a consistent performer at Monmore. Drawn in trap 3, which produces 19.01% of winners from 284 qualifying runs — a workable mid-field position. The Speculative rating reflects the compression of h3 scores and the inherent unpredictability of A7 racing.
Best composite, improving form and favourable class drop — but trap 2 at 14.48% is a structural penalty in a race where trap 1 dominates. The main form threat to the projection.
Best structural draw in the race — but lowest composite and inconsistent form make it difficult to project a win. Draw advantage alone is insufficient when the metrics trail significantly.
Promising early-pace profile from a workable draw. Third in the field on composite — a competitive runner capable of featuring but unlikely to win against the top two.
Clear declining form trajectory across recent starts — a significant red flag. Below-average draw adds to the structural concerns. Difficult to project a competitive showing.
Some recent improvement but composite and performance mid-table. Closing profile from a workable draw — a place prospect at best in this field.
Trap 1 dominates A7 480m at Monmore across a very large dataset of 305 runs at 25.25% — a reliable structural edge. Trap 2 is notably suppressed at 14.48%. Composite rank is weak at this grade nationally — pace and draw are more predictive.
T1:25.25%(305r) T2:14.48%(297r) T3:19.01%(284r) T4:16.14%(285r) T5:18.7%(246r) T6:17.01%(241r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bluey Hills | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Bloos Boy Kerry | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Aero Osprey | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Droopys Nibble | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Aero Dignity | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Longacres Ella | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.