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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Ricchezzed 1y 12 | J B Thompson — 18% R494 W90 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 47 | 49 (6) | 77 (2) | 87 (2) | 45 (1) | 37 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 28 (5) | - | 65 | 45 | 26 | 47 | 54 | 46 | 5 | 2/1F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Got The Larged 2y 6 | N J Hunt — 20% R355 W70 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 79 (4) | 97 (1) | 22 (6) | 53 (6) | 80 (2) | 42 (1) | 37 (3) | 100 (1) | 50 (6) | 68 (3) | 38 | 34 | 6 | 32 | 65 | 55 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Adelinesfirstdogd 1y 23 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 33 | 52 | 52 (5) | 64 (3) | 70 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 14 | - | - | 61 | 37 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Aero Stormraged 2y 7 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 56 | 42 (1) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 29 (4) | 28 (6) | 49 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 50 (3) | 48 (2) | 20 | 34 | 28 | 52 | 39 | 48 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Starmount Stormb 1y 3 | D J Page — 22% R83 W18 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 49 | 28 (5) | 29 (6) | 41 (3) | 37 (4) | 41 (2) | 28 (5) | 39 (6) | 42 (6) | 55 (4) | 45 (5) | - | 5 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 40 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Tullymurry Nedd 1y 4 | J B Thompson — 18% R494 W90 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | - | 34 (4) | 38 (4) | 43 (1) | 24 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 35 | 44 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
The model's projection carries the best composite (55), best average performance (65) and the clearest recent form credentials in this race — winning at OR3 264m here on 14 May at P97, an outstanding performance score that stands head and shoulders above any other recent figure on the card. The form line P79→P97→P22→P53→P80 shows a dog with enormous upside when fully switched on, but also alarming variance — the 14-May win sandwiched between a P22 and a P22 either side. Trainer N J Hunt at 34% is the strongest operator in this race. The structural challenge is unambiguous: trap 2 produces just 10.17% of D1 264m winners from 59 qualifying runs at Monmore — a near-death-box penalty in a sprint where the draw is decisive. The quality case is compelling; the draw case is not.
Best draw in the field and recently won over this trip at this track. Structural AI Pick — quality gap to prediction is real but draw premium is severe enough to warrant inclusion.
Second-best draw, highest trap suitability and C&D form. A genuine third force — should be involved in the finish.
Improving form and workable draw but first sprint start after exclusively running at 480m. The trip switch is the key unanswered question.
Consistent but modest performer. Near-zero track suitability and below-average form figures make a winning projection difficult.
Best raw speed in field but facing the worst draw in the race at this grade. Structural penalty too severe to overcome over 264m.
D1 264m at Monmore shows extreme polarisation: T4 and T1 dominate at 26.83% and 25.93%. T6 and T2 are dead boxes at 7.35% and 10.17%. Draw is the dominant factor at this grade and trip.
T1:25.93%(54r) T2:10.17%(59r) T3:23.64%(55r) T4:26.83%(41r) T5:17.39%(46r) T6:7.35%(68r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.