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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Tempob 2y 9 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 72 | 74 (2) | 76 (1) | 49 (5) | 59 (4) | 23 (6) | 49 (6) | 78 (1) | 63 (3) | 54 (3) | 63 (2) | 31 | 43 | 18 | 35 | 60 | 52 | 2 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Sparta Kingdomd 2y 25 | J B Thompson — 18% R494 W90 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 49 | 62 (2) | 62 (4) | 79 (1) | 58 (2) | 68 (2) | 67 (3) | 53 (5) | 73 (2) | 70 (2) | 53 (4) | 30 | 43 | 34 | 40 | 65 | 49 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Whisky On Fireb 2y 35 | N J Hunt — 20% R355 W70 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 52 | 63 (5) | 61 (4) | 60 (3) | 44 (6) | 72 (2) | 68 (2) | 79 (1) | 46 (4) | 66 (2) | 62 (2) | 37 | 36 | 6 | 42 | 62 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Beatties Lenab 1y 24 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R576 W107 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 30 | 73 (4) | 79 (3) | 78 (1) | 55 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | 18 | - | 27 | 72 | 51 | 3 | 2/1JF | ||
| 5 | ▶ Aero Fumib 2y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 43 | 44 (6) | 43 (1) | 56 (6) | 53 (5) | 66 (5) | 74 (6) | 56 (2) | 59 (1) | - | - | 39 | 40 | - | 34 | 54 | 43 | 6 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Boycied 1y 16 | P J Doocey — 20% R132 W26 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 58 | 69 (4) | 79 (1) | 73 (1) | 69 (5) | 37 (5) | 64 (2) | 52 (4) | 85 (2) | 72 (1) | 69 (1) | 49 | 42 | - | 58 | 68 | 54 | 1 | 2/1JF | ||
Heads the combined h3 model at 56.7 — a marginal lead of 0.5 points over Aero Tempo — driven by the best composite (54) and best speed rank (54) in the race. The form sequence P69→P79→P73→P69 shows impressive consistency at A4 and A5 level with the P79 run standing out as a quality effort. An All-Rounder with EP49 and a first-bend rating of 58, she should travel and compete for position through the Monmore first bend despite the wide draw. Distance suitability of 58 is the best in the field, confirming she handles the 480m trip well. The structural challenge is her trap 6 draw: at A3 480m Monmore, the outside box produces just 15.15% of winners from 132 qualifying runs — the worst structural position in this race. P J Doocey at 24% WR. The model selects her on quality; the draw represents the only meaningful counterargument.
Dominant draw, best bend rating, competitive A3 form and close h3 score. The nearest structural alternative — an extremely close race between the top two on every measure.
Best average performance and a great draw — but dropping from 684m to 480m is a substantial distance change. If she handles the shorter trip, she has every chance.
Consistent A3/A4 form with a P79 standout run — competitive in grade. Below-average draw limits the win probability despite solid credentials.
Consistent form and strong trainer — but composite fifth in field and a sprint last time. An each-way runner rather than a win selection.
Lowest composite and declining recent form — the weakest runner in this field on current evidence. Difficult to project a competitive showing.
Trap 6 is the weakest draw at A3 480m Monmore at 15.15% from 132 runs. Traps 1 and 4 lead the field on structural probability. Composite rank 1 wins just 17.56% — draw and pace profile more predictive at this grade.
T1:20.63%(160r) T2:16.39%(183r) T3:18.3%(153r) T4:20.3%(133r) T5:18.18%(99r) T6:15.15%(132r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Tempo | 65 | 0 | Fader |
2Sparta Kingdom | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
3Whisky On Fire | 76 | 73 | All-Rounder |
4Beatties Lena | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Aero Fumi | 37 | 56 | Closer |
6Longacres Boycie | 49 | 43 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.