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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Confident Rubyb 2y 15 | C Jones — 12% R300 W37 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 46 | 44 (4) | 44 (5) | 38 (4) | 46 (3) | 48 (2) | 29 (6) | 33 (5) | 52 (2) | 41 (5) | 68 (1) | 42 | 35 | 27 | 21 | 43 | 35 | 6 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Pippy Longsocksb 3y 13 | J B Thompson — 18% R494 W90 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 20 (5) | 27 (3) | 39 | 34 | 44 | 46 | 29 | 41 | 4 | 11/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Plaza Brunod 1y 5 | N J Hunt — 20% R355 W70 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | - | 32 (3) | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 23 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 45 | 1 | 7/4JF | ||
| 4 | ▶ Sugar Candiceb 3y 25 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R576 W107 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 30 | 37 (6) | 56 (4) | 26 (5) | 33 (1) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 23 (6) | 26 (5) | 58 (4) | 67 (5) | 18 | 36 | 5 | 26 | 37 | 42 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Valid Signatured 2y 6 | C D Marston — 15% R446 W66 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 22 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 61 (6) | 37 (1) | 25 (5) | 25 (6) | 59 (5) | 23 (5) | 40 (1) | 12 | 34 | 21 | 22 | 31 | 42 | 2 | 9/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Swoop Swoopd 3y 6 | C D Marston — 15% R446 W66 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 54 | 21 (5) | 85 (2) | 33 (2) | 39 (4) | 34 (6) | 50 (2) | 86 (2) | 48 (4) | 57 (1) | 39 (1) | 42 | 39 | 39 | 42 | 47 | 45 | 5 | 7/4JF | ||
Leads the h3 combined model ranking with a score of 59.4, edging the field on the composite assessment of recent form, pace profile and suitability. Her first-bend rating of 54 is comfortably the best of the confirmed runners and as an EP62 Fader she possesses sufficient early zip to claim ground into the bend from the outside draw. The recent form includes a strong placed run at P85 two outings ago — the best single-run figure in this race — though the most recent effort returned just P21, creating variance that drives the tentative confidence. Track suitability of 39, distance 42 and trap 42 all read as moderate positives, suggesting course and conditions are not alien to her. Trainer C D Marston operates at 20% and she has experience over the exact same grade and trip combination. The trap 6 draw at 17.36% from 288 runs is below the dominant inside boxes but she has the early pace credentials to compensate partially from the outside berth.
Best speed metrics and top trainer — a genuine threat that the model places second. Limited experience makes projection uncertain but the raw numbers are promising.
Best structural draw in the race and solid performance figures, but first sprint attempt after exclusively running over 480m. Distance unknown tempers the structural case.
Recent D3 264m form is fine but drawing from the worst structural box at this grade creates too large a barrier to recommend seriously.
Closing style unsuited to sprint trip. Below-average draw and modest metrics suggest a mid-field result at best.
Flat form figures across three D3 starts. Below-average draw and no momentum in the data. Hard to see a winning scenario.
Trap 1 dominates D3 264m at Monmore — almost 1-in-4 winners come from the red jacket. Trap 2 is severely underperforming at 12.38% from 202 runs. The T1 structural edge is the defining factor in race analysis.
T1:24.72%(178r) T2:12.38%(202r) T3:20.09%(234r) T4:15.07%(219r) T5:14.67%(259r) T6:17.36%(288r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.