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Alnwick Tommy 100 up stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Alnwick Tommyd 4y 29 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 59 | 30 (6) | 47 (4) | 46 (4) | 54 (3) | 53 (3) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | 57 (3) | 48 (4) | 68 (1) | 31 | 31 | 22 | 17 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Amazing Persiab 1y | S Roberts — 17% R173 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Killeacle Deniseb 2y 5 | D Blackbird — 17% R1113 W186 P613 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 37 | 49 (3) | 42 (5) | 58 (1) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 17 (6) | 42 (3) | 39 (6) | 34 (5) | 50 (2) | 3 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 43 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Nuked 1y 16 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 57 (1) | 41 (3) | 43 (5) | 59 (3) | 34 (6) | 46 (2) | 52 (1) | 34 (5) | - | - | 39 | 22 | 16 | 28 | 47 | 41 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Alnwick Tornadod 1y 17 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 35 (5) | 52 (2) | 44 (3) | 54 (2) | 40 (4) | 56 (1) | 33 (5) | - | - | - | - | 26 | 20 | 26 | 45 | 40 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Easy Ozb 2y 15 | S Roberts — 17% R173 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 35 | 49 (3) | 43 (4) | 39 (6) | 44 (3) | 57 (3) | 51 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (5) | 34 (5) | 68 (1) | 18 | 25 | 34 | 17 | 46 | 40 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
Trainer A Harrison sends three runners today and operates at 30% — the strongest trainer presence in this race. Alnwick Tornado from trap 5 is an All-Rounder with decent early pace (53) who can adapt to the shape of the race. Seven course and distance runs here with 1 win (14%). Recent form of 35, 52, 44 is mixed, with the 52 two runs ago being a solid effort. Trap 5 wins 16.30% at Newcastle A7 — not the strongest structural draw, but the All-Rounder profile means she does not rely on the draw the way a Fader or Closer does. The model has settled on her from the Harrison yard, possibly weighting the combination of trainer confidence, versatile pace profile, and ability to adapt if the race develops slowly. In a genuinely open A7 field, the strong trainer rate with a versatile type has value.
Danger: Speed rank 1 in the best trap region. The analytical case is compelling but very low early pace is a concern.
Strong trainer but worst structural trap and poor last run. Hard to recommend.
Debutant with no form in a structurally poor trap. Cannot be assessed.
Best C&D conversion rate in the field, solid trap, and competitive recent form. Each-way interest.
Best trap in the race but declining recent form. Structural advantage is not enough on its own.
Traps 3, 4 and 6 are the best structural draws at Newcastle A7. Traps 1 and 2 are structurally poor. Composite rank 1 wins only 19.94% — A7 is extremely competitive and open.
T1:16.51% T2:15.19% T3:21.21% T4:21.04% T5:16.3% T6:21.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Alnwick Tommy | 59 | 43 | Fader |
2Amazing Persia | — | — | No data |
3Killeacle Denise | 37 | 93 | Closer |
4Alnwick Nuke | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Alnwick Tornado | 53 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Easy Oz | 34 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alnwick Tommy | — | 0.623 |
| 2 | Amazing Persia | — | — |
| 3 | Killeacle Denise | 0.624 | 0.625 |
| 4 | Alnwick Nuke | — | 0.632 |
| 5 | Alnwick Tornado | — | 0.625 |
| 6 | Easy Oz | — | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.